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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bearshark who wrote (1497)5/3/2000 10:20:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Bearshark, good to see you out and about, by all means
stop by when you get a chance.

I have a question. Normally an inverted yield curve means
a recession and lower stock prices. Some are making the
case that this curve inversion is more technical than
fundamental in nature due to the dearth of new US Debt
offering, in fact the long end debt is being retired.

So do the normal recession, bear stock market rules apply>

Message 13554935

anyone feel free to comment on this.

John



To: bearshark who wrote (1497)5/4/2000 9:23:00 AM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hello bearshark,

Nice to get your post...!

>>I will try to visit again soon.<<

We'll hold you to it....!

My Best,

Chip



To: bearshark who wrote (1497)5/4/2000 9:41:00 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Respond to of 33421
 
Hey, stick around and share of few of your thoughts...

GZ



To: bearshark who wrote (1497)5/11/2000 5:38:00 AM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
Chip. GZ, John:

Thanks for the notes. Here is a chart I liked in early 1998. I remember looking at it when the inverse head appeared to be in place. It nearly did exactly what it should have done and is now moving back down to perfect its formation. A quick and rough look at it would indicate that within 2 years Japan will have an incredible base upon which to build a rally.

In the U. S., if you take the period from about 1968 through about 1982, you will see a similar formation. The U. S. went from roughly 1,000 (INDU) to 12,000 (INDU). Does that mean a rally in Japan to 190,000 in 2009 or there abouts? Below is the Nikkei chart from Yahoo at the maximum setting just in case the link is defective.

quote.yahoo.com^N225&d=my