To: J. M. Burr who wrote (19536 ) 5/6/2000 10:33:00 AM From: drbailey Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
J.M. I don't disagree with your suggestions. Owning Valence is like trying to negotiate a London fog. I don't doubt there is some aspect of "holding the cards close to the chest while negotiating" involved here. But, another aspect might be that there isn't a whole lot to announce. I am presently in the start up phase of a fairly large business venture and have to say that things happen a lot more slowly than anticipated. We are four months late with construction of our facility and thus four months late get our product to market. Everything that can go wrong will and every little emergency becomes a problem you have never encountered before. Eventually, you learn how to handle the problems, the employees get trained and settled in, and things become routine. It is a slow and painful process and it is a fact that most start ups fail because they can't weather the inevitable storms. We at least have a product that is already well accepted in the market place. Valence not only has to "learn" how to produce its product efficiently and profitably, it also has to establish a market and price for it. I was encouraged by the announcement of the new sales VP because he has had so much exposure to the industry. Now the right doors will be opened and once that happens things should happen pretty quickly. The complexity of the process for making the batteries is staggering. The entire process has to be automated and each piece of equipment is very expensive. What our company has had to develop as far as processes is nothing compared to what Valence must. But, I came away from the SH meeting with the comfort that they were already to the point they could crank out batteries when there were orders. Now they have to get more orders, hire and train workers, and fine tune everything during full scale operation. A very time consuming process which is already well under way. I have only been in the stock a couple of years and have to admit I am getting anxious. But, don't forget, we are up from the long term base of $4-6 a share and many of us are already playing with house money. (I'm not one unfortunately.) We have a lot to be thankful for and still have a lot to hope for. Not such a bad position to be in. David