To: pat mudge who wrote (4070 ) 5/9/2000 12:55:00 AM From: Dan B. Respond to of 5853
Pat, Re: "By not addressing a myriad of issues, including valuations, Gilder leaves his followers on the edge of a chasm with no way across. For a fee he shares his over-arching vision, allows early glimpses of his chosen companies, and once readers have taken positions --- metaphorically spread-eagle across the chasm --- he's off the hook. After all, he's a visionary and price is irrelevant" First, why is there no way across the "chasm" you mention? Absurd! What an incredible bit of hachet job fluff this is. I may not think much of your way across the "chasm", given that you seem to often make statements that are plainly false according to the very public back-up source material you present, but by golly so long as there is such source material available which all can draw upon, and Mr. Gilder hasn't stolen it away from the world, your scenario doesn't pass the giggle test from the get go. He's off the hook? NO! He is ON the hook for the success of the technologies and companies he picks, and whether his subscribers have taken positions or not, this remains the case. Price is irrelevant? Price IS relevant- and he offers historically sage parameters for basing buy/sell decisions- valuation being a favorite. You truly show your lack of knowledge where Mr. Gilder is concerned. I'd advise gaining a deeper understanding of what he DOES tell subscribers before offering uninformed opinion like the above. I'll suggest to you the wisdom in the notion that for all the "fundamental" numbers one can come up with on a company, the ultimate fundamental that can best predict success is the viability of a company's products. A desirable and ultimately successful product will in retrospect often destroy the predictive value of all technical and fundamental numbers alike. Mr Gilder sticks to the meaty endeavor of finding ultimately successful technology, a GREAT indicator for making responsible investment decisions(no, I didn't say the only indicator, and neither did he, OF COURSE!). In short, "...pin-pointing ascendant technologies and making responsible investment calls..." are decidedly NOT "...light-years apart" at all. Pinpointing the technology is a prime part and parcel of making great investment calls. This is exactly what Gilder offers. If he pretended valuation was of no importance, you'd have a basis to knock him, but in fact while he does not actively offer such analysis, he DOES recognize the need for the reader to do it. Heck, it seems you'd have him make all the calls for his readers- thus making them far more like dependent zombies than you think they are now. So on the one hand, you, like me, see red flags upon noticing "slavish devotion to any leader or cause,(well said, Pat, and I MEAN that!)" but on the other hand, you want him to offer that which would serve to ask from his readers an even greater level of devotion. I happen to like the fact that he concentrates on identifying technologies- and no more. This fact, though you perhaps hadn't seen it yet, is a great hedge against his readers becoming zombie-like followers. With so much pertinent investment information beyond the technology left uncovered by Gilder, his readers necessarily are openly encouraged to be self-sufficient, not zombies. If you doubt this, you simply haven't understood the man just yet, nor his reasons for not doing price, IMO. Dan B