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Strategies & Market Trends : Three Amigos Stock Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DaringDon who wrote (19813)5/7/2000 4:53:00 PM
From: Sergio H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29382
 
Daring Don, you might have noticed that in the last 3 months
NAMC has had a range of from under 4 to over 9. Believe it or not, the stock has traded and people have made and lost money.

The pattern that I am referring to on NAMC is a trinangulation formed by the convergence of long term as well as short term MAs.

207.61.23.98

This pattern usually leads to a breakdown or a breakout. I am not adept enough to predict which will be the outcome here, but....(and here's the bonus Daring Don since you astutely pointed to the lack of volume as a concern) a breakout or breakdown will be accompanied by an increase in volume.

Sergio



To: DaringDon who wrote (19813)5/15/2000 4:13:00 PM
From: Sergio H  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29382
 
Don, getting back to the volume issue, lets look at AE. I bought it this morning rounding out my bet on natural gas. I previously bough CHK and a natural gas mutual fund.

Can we use this stock as a test on the volume theory? My opinion is that it's possible to make money on a stock that's not going to trade very many shares per day. The ingredients replacing volume in this case are a hot sector and strong fundamentals.

AE has a tiny float and the avg. daily volume according to Yahoo is a whopping 5K!!!! Today was a banner volume day as over 13K whizzed by.

Volume aside, the technicals and the fundamentals are excellent. The technical picture is pretty obvious:
207.61.23.98

The PE is about 1/3 of its growth rate and its growth rate is equal to about 6 times its peer group's avg. AE was listed on Forbes Platinum 400 in January. Forbes 400 list includes stocks with sales greater than $750 million, strong revenue growth and return on capital ratios, and solid short-term and long-term earnings growth and cash flow per share.

I'm betting on the strengh of the sector to bring new investors to AE.

Sergio