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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4609)5/7/2000 1:29:00 PM
From: Bluestryp  Respond to of 34857
 
This is interesting read at msnbc:
msnbc.com



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4609)5/7/2000 6:05:00 PM
From: Eric L  Respond to of 34857
 
Tero,

<< if Brazil recognizes the danger that the use of 1900 MHz poses to implementation of W-CDMA, this alone can swing the vote >>

The DANGER is assigning outside the core bands of IMT2000.

1800 MHz lies outside of IMT2000 core spectrum, Tero. That could change. We will see.

In the interim any adoption of 1800 MHz blows W-CDMA out of the water, since W-CDMA does NOT operate in that spectrum.

Are you proposing setting aside spectrum for 2G on the eve of implementation of 3G services?

GSM has been WIPED OUT in LA, my friend. Its only shot is establishing 1800 MHz spectrum.

WCDMA is a generic term and can be a figment of somebodies imagination ... generally credited to ERICY with roots in essential QCOM IP, NOK is trying to establish some legitimate IP in same and having difficulty doing so.

There is no standard for WCDMA and there never will be. There is a reason the ITU came down hard on ERICY and QCOM and ignored the worlds leader in 1800 MHz FUD (Nokia).

If analog Brazil is dumb enough to create spectrum outside of the IMT2000 specified range and if the US goes along than the world is turned upside down and you contradict yourself.

If the WCR changes spectrum rules we have a new ballgame.

In the interim, Nokia is a distant 3rd to ERICY & QCOM, in determining direction for 3G.

JMO, of course (but a HIGHLY opinionated and reasonably informed opinion.

- Eric -



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4609)5/8/2000 8:58:00 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 34857
 
Mark Roberts' (First Union) report on QCOM:

KEY POINTS

-- The European market may be slowly opening to QUALCOMM.
We believe that the EU is going to relent
and allow carriers to adopt any of the 3G technologies and not mandate only
W-CDMA.

-- We believe that ETSI, the EU standard setting body has voted to allow
European carriers to
adopt any of the proposed
ITU 3G
technologies. We have not been able to confirm the decision or the terms
with ETSI.

-- QUALCOMM will probably receive royalties on W-CDMA anyway. However, if
carriers in
Europe can opt to adopt
any of the ITU 3G modes it potentially could open the market for QUALCOMM to
also sell chips
and accelerate the timing.

-- We reiterate our Strong Buy on the shares.
DETAILS:
What has changed.
We have multiple reports that ETSI (European
Telecommunications Standards Institute) has approved a resolution endorsing
all three modes of the
ITU?s 3G standard.
ETSI had
historically endorsed deployment of only W-CDMA in Europe. If we have
correct information, there
are several
implications:

-- ETSI has said previously that they would only allow European carriers to
use W-CDMA. We
believe its position has
been an attempt
to try to keep U.S. manufacturers out of Europe because Ericsson and Nokia
are thought to be
ahead in the development
and deployment of W-CDMA while QUALCOMM, Lucent and Motorola are thought to
be ahead
in CDMA 1X and 3X
technologies.

-- The ITU (International Telecommunications Union) is in the process of
adopting a single CDMA
standard with three
modes: direct sequence
(W-CDMA), multi-carrier (1X and 3X) and a TDD (time division duplex) mode.
QUALCOMM
disproportionately benefits
if carriers adopt a bias toward 1X and 3X multi-carrier because it is
already developing chips for 1X
and 3X (they
essentially wrote the multi-carrier part of the standard).

-- The U.S. government as well as a few global carriers like Vodafone have
been pressuring the EU
to adopt the ITU
standard so: 1) carriers can have phones that work on networks everywhere in
the world and, 2) the
U.S. government wants
to open European markets to American technology.
We suspect that ETSI may issue a press release on its new position within
the next few days.
Implications. We think QUALCOMM will get royalties from manufacturers making
W-CDMA or
1X and 3X technologies.
However, by mandating W-CDMA in Europe, we believe carriers were locked into
a migration path
from GSM to GPRS,
to EDGE (maybe), to W-CDMA. In this migration path we doubt QUALCOMM would
see any
revenues out of Europe
until maybe 2003-4 for royalties on W-CDMA. However, if ETSI is going to
allow carriers in
Europe to adopt any of the
ITU CDMA modes, carriers may decide to go
down a migration path from GSM, to 1X MC, to 3X MC. If so, QUALCOMM is
likely to have the
opportunity to sell
chips as well as get
royalties. Additionally, we believe the economics of 1X MC are at least as
good as the economics of
EDGE perhaps better.
Consequently, if carriers begin to migrate toward 1X then both chipset sales
and royalties from
Europe may accrue to
QUALCOMM years faster than most investors currently expect. The upshot is
that QUALCOMM
could potentially realize
chipset and/or royalty growth not previously expected ? we have not factored
into our models 1X or
3X in Europe.
What we don?t know are the specifics and when the details will be released
by ETSI.<



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4609)5/8/2000 4:20:00 PM
From: Eric L  Respond to of 34857
 
Tero,

Re: Spectrum Allocation for 3G (Worldwide)

The issues surrounding spectrum allocation are not easy to understand (at least for me). The June 2 date for a decision by Brazil on spectrum allocation obviously relates to compromises (or lack of same) that may be made at the WRC meeting taking place in Istanbul. The article below is one of the best I have read on the spectrum issues that are being discussed in Istanbul now:

>> FIRED-UP 3G BACKERS SET TO FORCE WRC SPECTRUM CLASH

By Theresa Foley
CWI Online
21 February 2000

totaltele.com

Regional governments and terrestrial mobile and satellite operators are set to split at this year's World Radiocommunications Conference over competition for globally usable radio frequencies for third-generation mobile services.

Both industries are seeking spectrum allocations that will enable them to use at least some frequencies on a global basis. But the demands of the fast growing terrestrial mobile sector are expected to pit Europe and Japan, where mobile communications is strongest, against the U.S. government, which is resisting European proposals which would mean moving some federal and commercial services onto other frequencies.

After a string of false-starts with satellite network projects such as Iridium and Teledesic, the U.S. satellite industry, in particular, looks likely to be fighting a rearguard action to maintain its share of global spectrum.

Terrestrial and satellite systems are likely to have to share spectrum in some cases.

"Additional spectrum is needed for both, but most people agree terrestrial is more important," said Roger Smith, head of the space services department at the International Telecommunication Union, Geneva, and the coordinator of ITU preparations for WRC2000 in Istanbul in May.

The European position is that, as far as possible, spectrum for third-generation mobile should be contiguous and allocated on a global basis, rather than letting each country use a different part of the waveband.

If the Americas end up in a different frequency range from the rest of the world, mobile terminals would have to shift frequency as a user roamed among the regions, just as GSM does.

"For mobile roaming, you need to have worldwide harmonized spectrum," said Josef Huber, vice chairman of the UMTS Forum, London, and senior vice president at Siemens AG, Munich.

However, the U.S. government's position paper, seen by CWI this month, indicates that spectrum in the 1-3 gigahertz band could be released for broadband mobile. The U.S. proposal would only set aside the key 2500-2690 megahertz band, which the UMTS Forum wants for third-generation services, for study.

No agreement "There is no agreement worldwide on a common band," said Gail Schoettler, the U.S. ambassador to the WRC.

A negotiating group of U.S. industry and government representatives that included BellSouth Corp., Bell Atlantic, Iridium, Lucent Technologies Inc., MCI WorldCom and Sprint, worked out the proposal for a U.S. government position.

"The outcome is likely to be multiple bands and a plan that takes several years to implement," said Schoettler.

But even U.S. analysts agree that the U.S. government and companies are under pressure to admit that the European idea of a harmonized spectrum allocation should take precedence.

"The stakes are high for the U.S. industry," said Walda Roseman, president of consulting firm CompassRose International, of Washington DC. "[It needs to] find solutions with the U.S. government to match some of the spectrum that others in the Americas region and elsewhere will be using."

While the bandwidth plan for third-generation mobile is technically complex, economically important and politically sensitive, the terrestrial mobile community appears to have laid the groundwork to get its new allocation.

For IMT 2000, terrestrial mobile groups want 160 MHz of new spectrum allocated on top of bandwidth already designated. UMTS Forum's Huber said 187 MHz was initially agreed as a requirement by operators, manufacturers and regulators worldwide. The U.S. proposal is for just 120 MHz.

The total spectrum requirement calculated by the UMTS Forum was 580 MHz, but nearly 400 MHz of that is already allocated, leaving the spectrum still needed for third generation services at about 190 MHz.

"It would be optimum to have the same frequency worldwide," said Leslie Taylor, a spectrum consultant and president of Leslie Taylor Associates, Washington DC, "but it doesn't look achievable given the allocations we have in the United States to other services, including U.S. government, PCS and various other services."

A multiple frequency allocation, where different countries use different bands for IMT 2000 terminals, will make handsets for roaming heavier and more expensive, Taylor said. To have a harmonized global allocation would simplify manufacturing, reduce cost and make it easier to roam.

But, said Taylor: "Without it, it won't be impossible. [Manufacturers] have shown you can do a lot with the handsets."

Increased complexity For satellites carrying third-generation mobile services, however, having the same frequency allocated globally is more important than for terrestrial mobile systems. The global satellite systems would face "geometrically increased complexity" in designing for frequency shifts as a user roams from place to place, especially for low Earth orbit constellations of satellites that are moving over the Earth instead of holding one spot.

Satellite mobile handsets already are noticeably heavier than terrestrial ones, and the burden of frequency shifting for both the handsets and the spacecraft would be difficult to work around.

Global spectrum demands The three regions of the world, as defined by the International Telecommunication Union, came up with entirely different needs for third-generation mobile spectrum in preparatory analysis. In region one, which contains Europe, Africa and parts of Asia, the highest amount, 555 megahertz, is needed; in region two, the Americas, 390 MHz is required; and in region three, the Asia-Pacific, the requirement is 480 MHz. To reach the consensus of 160 MHz total for a global allocation of new spectrum, each region deducted the already reserved spectrum from the total, and came up with a requirement for new spectrum in the 160 MHz range.

"The difficult job now," said Josef Huber, vice chairman of the UMTS Forum, London, and senior vice president at Siemens AG, Munich, "is to find the bands."

That is where the United States and Europe disagree. Europe and administrations in the Asia-Pacific have agreed in the last few months on allocating a new solid block in the 2.5-gigahertz area, in addition to considering the bands 806-960 MHz and 1710-1930 MHz.

"Europe is not proposing new allocations but the identification of a range of frequencies within which each country would be able to select the appropriate band, according to its own requirement, and at the time frame it prefers," said Francois Rancy, director, spectrum planning and international affairs, at the Agence Nationale des Frequences, Paris.

Bands around 2,000 MHz were allocated at WRC-92. Now Europe proposes adding the following: 806-906 MHz (GSM bands); 1710-1885 MHz (bands for DECT, PCS and GSM 1800); and 2500-2690 MHz (new spectrum).

The United States had identified a portion of the spectrum, from 700 MHz to 2.5 GHz, as the place where pieces of bandwidth can be carved out for third-generation mobile.

"Altogether, the bands end up at 160 MHz, but not [in] one contiguous band, but several blocks," Huber said. "In the Americas it is not a harmonized situation for the region. From country to country the spectrum could lie in different bands."

Europe's IMT 2000 plan has met opposition from non-U.S. administrations on other grounds. Countries such as India, Australia and much smaller nations question whether they actually need that much spectrum with their expected mobile penetration rates in 10 years.

The ITU, of Geneva, will host the World Radiocommunication Conference series in May.

Information : info@total.emap.com URL : totaltele.com

¸ EMAP Media 2000 <<

Note: Current US cellular & PCS spectrum is as follows:

Traditional Cellular Spectrum in the US (Analog & 2G digital)

Since the early 1980's, the FCC has set aside frequencies located around the 800 MHz range for the analogue cellular telephone industry. In addition, the traditional cellular carriers who offer analog service in the 800 MHz range are now converting their systems to digital, and now operate both analog and digital systems in the 800 MHz range. To make use of both their analog and digital networks, these carriers offer "dual mode" phones that provide digital cellular where available, and automatically switch to analog when there is no digital coverage.

PCS Spectrum (2G Digital)

To provide the PCS licenses, the FCC divided the U.S. into approximately 500 small geographic areas known as Basic Trading Areas, or BTAs. Each BTA has six sets of licenses, which generally means that up to six different PCS carriers will be competing in any given market, in addition to whatever traditional cellular carriers are already providing service in those markets and in addition to Nextel and other carriers.

The spectrum allocation for broadband PCS is in the 1850 to 1990 MHz range. Blocks A, B, and C each containing thirty MHz and Blocks D, E, and F each contain ten MHz.

A: 1850-1865 MHz and 1930-1945 MHz
B: 1870-1885 MHz and 1950-1965 MHz
C: 1895-1910 MHz and 1975-1990 MHz
D: 1865-1870 MHz and 1945-1950 MHz
E: 1885-1890 MHz and 1965-1970 MHz
F: 1890-1895 MHz and 1970-1975 MHz

- Eric -



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4609)5/8/2000 4:24:00 PM
From: Eric L  Respond to of 34857
 
Tero,

Re: Spectrum Allocation for 3G (Worldwide) - Additional Articles (2)

>> GLOBAL SPECTRUM DECISIONS TO COME

wirelessweek.com

3G Deliberations Enter Final Stage

From the February 28, 2000 issue of Wireless Week

By Peggy Albright

When U.S. government officials and wireless advocates reached a long-sought agreement on radio- frequency bands for third-generation wireless spectrum, the decision capped debates over IMT-2000 services. Without a U.S. spectrum decision, the dream of offering globally uniform 3G wireless systems in this country might be over.

The latest agreement identifies the specific frequencies the United States will recommend as potential spectrum for the IMT-2000: the 1710-1885 MHz and 2520-2670 MHz bands for terrestrial services. Some additional frequencies on either side of the latter bands also will be designated for satellite services.

The spectrum recommendations jibe with those identified by other countries, which will help create the global ribbon of bandwidth advocates have said were needed to provide international services. This news was welcomed with relief.

The successful resolution of the negotiation process will help the industry harmonize spectrum use around the world and it positions the United States to influence the outcome of forthcoming global spectrum deliberations.

The United States will now take the proposal to next week's meeting in Mar del Plata, Argentina. Countries participating in the Organization of American States' Inter-American Telecommunication Commission will complete a World Radio Conference 2000 spectrum proposal on behalf of countries in North, Central and Latin America.

IMT-2000 history

The two conferences cap a spectrum-allocation process that began when the 1992 World Administrative Radio Conference set aside 230 megahertz of spectrum in the 1885 to 2025 MHz and 2110-2200 MHz frequency bands for terrestrial IMT-2000 services.

Global needs

The reasons for this international approach are obvious: Globally uniform spectrum makes international roaming easier and infrastructure equipment and handset designs less costly to produce due to economies of scale, which benefits businesses and consumers.

"It's a resource that everybody has got a finger in. You don't manufacture new spectrum, you adjust and readjust and negotiate and dialog and come to agreements on who's going to use it where and how," says Stephen Blust, director of technology strategy and standards at BellSouth Cellular Corp. Blust co-chaired Task Group 8/1's work on IMT-2000 radio air interface specifications and chaired the group working on spectrum issues. He is now chair of a new international group that will continue global development of IMT-2000.

Those agreements came to fruition in recent weeks, when two of the three global regions completed their proposals defining where they would prefer to allocate the additional 160 megahertz of IMT-2000 spectrum.

Region 1, which includes Europe, Africa and part of the Middle East, adopted a recommendation to add the 2520-2670 MHz frequency band to IMT-2000.

Region 3, also referred to as the Asia Pacific Telecommunity, just adopted a recommendation that the IMT-2000 use the 1710-1885 and 2520-2670 MHz frequency bands. (European countries did not designate 1710-1880 MHz frequency bands because they use portions of this spectrum for DCS 1800 and GSM services.)

Region 2, which represents all of the Americas, is scheduled to make its recommendation at the March CITEL meeting. That organization prefers to designate the 1710 to 1885 bands and may consider others, including the 2520-2670 MHz bands, at the March meeting.

At its December meeting, Brazil, Canada and Mexico developed a proposal that supports designating 1710-1885 MHz for IMT-2000 services. Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Peru and Uruguay administrations also said they support using these bands, however these countries chose to postpone finalizing their views until the March meeting.

Despite the regional support for 1710-1885 MHz at the December meeting, the United States asked for additional time to review the pros and cons of variously considered frequency bands. At the time, the United States said it envisioned completing an initial proposal in February for consideration at the March meeting, however, it stated strongly that it may request further delays.

They continued to press this view while the wireless industry pushed for the spectrum allocation that would bring the U.S. services in line with the rest of the world to recommend use of the 1700 and 2500 MHz frequencies.

Part of the problem of designating spectrum in the United States is the various interests competing for available or potential bandwidth. Proposals were coordinated by the FCC and NTIA, which attempted to bring various industry and government approaches into accord before submitting the documents to the Department of State. The State Department will deliver the U.S. position to international organizations. The FCC and NTIA also co-chaired a committee that worked with businesses to incorporate industry's views.

Companies participating in the deliberations included Bell Atlantic Mobile, BellSouth Cellular, Ericsson, Globalstar and Lucent. Staff from CTIA, PCIA and the Telecommunications Industry Association also participated.

American reluctance to agree to the 1710-1885 MHz band stems from the Department of Defense's use of frequencies in that spectrum. The 2520-2670 MHz band is allocated here for multichannel multipoint distribution services and instructional television fixed services.

While the agreement reached this month does finally identify specific frequency bands for IMT-2000, it doesn't have any regulatory priority over other services, explains Steve Sharkey, spokesman for Motorola. In other words, the United States is recommending that countries have the flexibility to use these bands for any services that they believe are appropriate. It also urges countries to conduct studies on what portions of the bands can be made available.

"That's really the meat of the whole argument," Sharkey says.

Global Spectrum Decisions To Come

From the January 10, 2000, issue of Wireless Week

By Peggy Albright

Before summer comes, industry watchers should have solid information on additional spectrum allocations for third-generation services.

While much of the industry was consumed last year developing the IMT-2000 family of radio air interfaces, others were working around the clock at various global venues to pinpoint spectrum needs for 3G services. That effort should reach its conclusion in late May and early June, when the ?meeting of the global minds? on radio technologies and issues will convene for four weeks at the World Radio Conference 2000 in Istanbul, Turkey.

There, participants will release the final word on spectrum to countries, wireless operators and vendors that are developing 3G businesses. Those attending the marathon session are defining spectrum that will be used until 2010.

Identifying bands that can be used globally remains one of the remaining challenges of IMT-2000, says Stephen Blust, director of technology strategy and standards at BellSouth Cellular Corp.

Blust, who co-chaired Task Group 8/1?s work detailing the radio interface specifications and chaired the group working on spectrum issues, was recently named chair of a new international group that will continue global development of IMT-2000.

The spectrum allocation process dates back to 1992, when the World Administrative Radio Conference set aside 230 megahertz of spectrum for IMT-2000 services. In 1997, realizing that the original allocation would no longer be adequate, the organization revisited it and decided to add new 3G frequencies at WRC 2000.

Members of Task Group 8/1, which submitted the radio specifications to the International Telecommunication Union, concluded last year that 160 additional megahertz are needed on a global basis for the IMT-2000.

Then, at a November conference preparatory meeting held in Geneva, international representatives completed a list of candidate frequency bands for consideration in the WRC 2000 process. The plan includes all of the frequency bands used for first- and second-generation cellular and those where IMT-2000 is not currently allocated. The idea is to try to work as much of the needed spectrum within globally common frequency bands.

?What we?re seeing is that there?s a lot of push for additional spectrum for IMT-2000 that is, to the greatest extent possible, globally uniform,? Blust says. The reasons are obvious: Globally uniform spectrum makes international roaming easier and makes handset designs easier and less costly, for example.

Between now and WRC 2000, countries around the world will be developing their official positions on how much spectrum from specific bands should be allocated. Resolution of the various recommendations from regional groups will take place at WRC 2000.

Groups representing Europe and Asia, working both individually and collectively, have already identified candidate bands that would fulfill the need from their perspectives, Blust says. At this juncture, however, the Americas region, which includes North and South America, has not yet defined its proposed spectrum solution in part because the United States has not yet established its official position.

Blust says: ?We?re coming very much down to the wire, obviously, because these decisions really need to be formulated in the next few months.?

In this country, part of the problem is that the United States consumed available spectrum for PCS. Now, the industry is recognizing that frequency bands that are strong candidates in other parts of the world may not be good candidate bands in the U.S.

The U.S. position and that of the region should be defined by March, when CITEL, a group with the Organization of American States, meets to determine a position on spectrum for the Americas.

It is a very difficult issue, but the outcome is a critical one, Blust says. ?It very much has an impact on IMT-2000 and third-generation deployments.? <<

- Eric -