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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (49847)	5/8/2000 9:05:00 PM
From: Les H	Respond to of 99985

The clowns are boxed in. The flash GDP is probably going to be revised up in the next two revisions to somewhere between 6.0 and 7.0 percent, if the previous quarter's large revisions are any guide. Second, if they're relying on productivity to save them from inflation, that will likely start to fall. If the Fed succeeds in slowing down the economy, GDP growth will slow and productivity with it. Employment is a lagging indicator and usually rises or falls in response to business conditions. So, slower sales growth and high employment equals slower productivity growth. After all, with a tight job market, employers are going to have to think twice about letting go people they may need to rehire in just 6 to 12 months hence.