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To: Atin who wrote (101)5/10/2000 8:41:00 AM
From: Poet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10876
 
More PnF discussion about the Naz, found on the MDD thread:

To: Wayne Van Scoyoc who wrote (49989)
From: Eric Stevens
Wednesday, May 10, 2000 12:54 AM ET
The Naz 1% P&F chart's now one of the more interesting of the indexes.

5060.73 X
5010.63 X O
4961.02 X O
4911.90 X O
4863.26 X O
4815.11 X O
4767.44 O X O
4720.24 O X O
4673.50 O X O
4627.23 O X O
4581.42 O X O X
4536.05 O X O X O
4491.14 O O X O
4446.68 O X O X
4402.65 O X O X O
4359.06 O O X O
4315.90 O X O
4273.17 O X O
4230.86 4 X O
4188.97 O X O
4147.50 O X O
4106.43 O X O
4065.77 O X O
4025.52 O X O
3985.66 O X O
3946.20 O X O 5
3907.13 O X O X O
3868.44 O X O * X O
3830.14 O X O X * X O
3792.22 O X O X O * X O X
3754.67 O X O X O X * X O X O
3717.50 O X O X O X O X O X O +
3680.69 O O X O X O X O X O +
3644.25 O X O X O X O X O
3608.17 O X O X O X O + O
3572.44 O X O X O X + O
3537.07 O X O X O + +
3502.05 O X O X + +
3467.38 O X O X * +
3433.05 O X O X * +
3399.06 O X O X + *
3365.40 O X O + *
3332.08 O X +
3299.09 O X +
3266.43 O X +
3234.09 O +
3202.07 +

More often than not, when a chart reaches its second bearish price objective, I look for a bottom to begin forming.
When this chart reversed down from 5060 its first bearish price objective was 3754 and its second p/o was 3234!!
(Now that was a dead on bullseye.) When it bottomed at 3234 on 4/17/00 it eventually formed a symmetrical
triangle that broke up and gave the double top buy signal at 3792 (the column with the 5 on top).

But it became very suspect when that breakout column reversed back down in a column of O's and gave back
more than 50% of its run. When that happens there's an 80% chance of a forthcoming sell signal, and sure enough
that just happened at 3572. Making the pattern more interesting is the fact that it's a symmetrical triangle breaking
to the downside. It's not often that you see two symmetrical triangles joined together with one breaking up and the
next down. There's a lot of compression building here.

There's horizontal support at 3537, 3365 and lastly at 3234 before the freefall to 2650. You can see the trendline
support at 3467 and 3365. Given both horizontal and trendline support from a bearish support line at 3365, if it
passes through that ..

The first bearish price objective is 3299 and the second is 3016.

This chart is depicting far more weakness than strength.