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To: Scott Mc who wrote (7322)5/11/2000 10:38:00 AM
From: kingfisher  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24939
 

Bloomberg Energy
Thu, 11 May 2000, 10:35am EDT

05/11 07:35 Crude Oil Rises as IEA Warns of Possible Shortages in 2nd Half
By Vladimir Todres

London, May 11 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose 1 percent after
the International Energy Agency warned that oil shortages are
possible in the autumn and winter if top exporters don't boost
output for a second time this year.

Worldwide oil demand may exceed supply by 220,000 barrels a
day in the third quarter and 1.72 million in the last three months
of the year as demand rises, said the IEA, an energy adviser to 23
top oil-consuming nations.
``The report quite possibly has sparked a rally'' in the
price today, said Rob Cole, managing director at Trafalgar
Commodities Ltd.

Brent crude oil for June settlement rose as much as 26 cents,
or 1 percent, to $26.68 a barrel on London's International
Petroleum Exchange. Crude oil for June delivery on the New York
Mercantile Exchange was up 13 cents at $28.23 a barrel in
electronic trading.

Higher supplies from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries now and a seasonal decline in second-quarter demand may
prevent the group from boosting output in the summer, the IEA
said. Still, the agency expects demand to pick up later in the
year, first from motorists during the summer travel season and
then from homeowners for heating as colder weather arrives.

Worldwide, consumers this year will burn 76.5 million barrels
of oil a day, up 2 percent from 1999, the agency said.

More Supplies

While the IEA calls for more supplies, OPEC officials say
they have no intention of increasing production again after
boosting quotas at their March meeting to reduce prices from nine-
year highs.

That agreement meant OPEC, which pumps two of every five
barrels of the world's oil, produced 27.78 million barrels a day
in April, 840,000 barrels a day more than in March, the IEA said.

OPEC President Ali Rodriguez said yesterday the group doesn't
plan to boost output in July. Rodriguez, who spoke before a
meeting with Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi and his
Mexican colleague, Luis Tellez, said OPEC will keep production
quotas at their current levels after it meets June 21 in Vienna.
The three ministers didn't release any statement after they met.

The price for Brent crude oil is down about 20 percent since
OPEC at the end of March agreed to boost production. Prices dipped
below $22 a barrel in April and have regained about $4.50 a barrel
since then.

At its April meeting, OPEC also agreed to adjust production
to keep the price of a group of crude oils it monitors between $22
and $28 a barrel. If the price stays out of this range for 20 days
in a row, the group will automatically add or subtract 500,000
barrels a day to current production levels.

OPEC said the basket price was $26.61 on Tuesday.


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