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To: trouthead who wrote (10211)5/11/2000 2:29:00 PM
From: t2  Respond to of 24042
 
I got a feeling the FED will go with a 25 basis jump along with a tightening bias. Even though people are saying it is worse than 50 basis, I think the market will take the number as positive.

25 would also indicate the FED is not as worried as some people about inflation going forward. That is how I understand it. All we got were a couple of unusual bad economic readings and that cannot justify an aggressive tightening bias.
I don't get this 50 better than 25 logic people are throwing around. I have heard the arguments but they make no sense.



To: trouthead who wrote (10211)5/11/2000 3:09:00 PM
From: Nichols  Respond to of 24042
 
The FED sitting on its hands??? Are you kidding me??? There is 0% chance that they do not raise interest rates. Nada. Of course, we don't know if its 25 or 50%. The real question is which is better for the market-long term. I really want him to go for 50%, since (possibly I'm naive), I don't think he'll want to go more than another 50% after that. And FWIW, the day of the increase, I think the market goes way up, no matter what the increase is. Greenspan rules. Long live Greenspan!



To: trouthead who wrote (10211)5/11/2000 4:50:00 PM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
I'm looking for 25% increase then neutral stance myself.

Greg