Text of Bernie Schwartz's remarks (in case the link expires).
THE FOLLOWING REMARKS WERE PRESENTED BY BERNARD L. SCHWARTZ, CHAIRMAN & CEO OF GLOBALSTAR TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED, AT THE ANNUAL SHAREHOLDERS MEETING ON TUESDAY, MAY 9, 2000
Let me begin my remarks by quoting a major analyst:
"The demand for these phone units is greatly exaggerated. The company's strategy is driven by technology, not by demands of the marketplace. Their costs are so high that it precludes them from reducing rates low enough to achieve their market expectations.
On a practical level, even if you get the damn phone, you still won't use it."
No, this analyst wasn't talking about Globalstar, although he is now saying much the same things about Globalstar. Rather, he was talking about cellular phones when they were first being introduced 15 years ago.
This reference to a prior comparable product introduction is instructive. The message is: Globalstar's market may be difficult to define, just as cellular's was, but there is a market. Intuitively, and through universal experience, we can agree to certain of its characteristics:
1. There is a vast population not plugged into modern communication;
2. Globalstar will achieve a huge financial success if we reach only a tiny fraction of this population. In fact, we need only a small piece of our addressable market, meaning the segment that is demographically and financially suited for mobile, wireless telephony;
3. Despite cellular's growth, despite the dramatic advances in communication technology, despite the trillions of dollars invested in infrastructure, there has never been a time that demand for telephone services has not exceeded capacity. The demand for wireless, mobile communication, today, is huge and will exceed availability for the foreseeable future.
Evidence of wireless phone capacity shortage is apparent everywhere, in geographically unfriendly areas, in much traveled but remote regions of the world, even in more developed countries in which cellular covers less than all the territory, and, in fact, on 72nd Street and Park Avenue in New York City where service is inadequate;
4. Although technology has increased capacity, new applications have driven usage well beyond the ability of private or public investment to keep up. In addition, the worldwide economic advances have broadened the addressable market by extending affordability and creating requirements where neither existed before;
5. As in every communication application, satellites provide the quickest, most cost-effective method of bringing solutions to the global market;
6. And last, Globalstar is the only global system available to serve this market. Globalstar's hardware and software work. Its system design has been proven by millions of minutes of completed telephone calls, by its billing systems, by a satellite constellation that is operating flawlessly, and by the quality of its voice and service.
We are currently working with Qualcomm to develop new and expanded data features, including fax, e-mail, Internet access and short messaging services, to be available this year. Ours will be the only such network capable of using the powerful CDMA [Code Division Multiple Access] technology developed by Qualcomm on a worldwide basis.
From Globalstar's conception, its management relied on validation of our market and our technology on our strategic partners. They are among the leading cellular operators in the world. Their aggregate investment in Globalstar exceeds $1 billion. They validated the system and market then, and have reaffirmed their confidence in Globalstar by increasing their investments now -- even as we meet here today -- in their selected franchises. Their current investments are in support of the Globalstar deployment. They are purchasing new ground equipment, acquiring new sites for gateways, committing to additional telephones, training personnel, securing retail outlets to supplement their own distribution networks, executing marketing plans, and advertising under their own as well as Globalstar's brand.
These operators are not dismayed by a slow retail deployment. In fact, they expect the deployment and usage to be slow at the beginning, as with any new product. It is their experience, market knowledge and financial commitments that underscore our confidence.
Your management understands investors' desire to receive as much information as possible, and as quickly as possible. However, we cautioned that early progress will be difficult to quantify because of our arrangements with service providers. Nevertheless, we have been tracking our progress, and can report that all early indicators are favorable and improving weekly as deployment proceeds.
Due to some initial start-up problems, which have now been fixed, and also due to the much-publicized concerns about Iridium's failure, reported minutes of usage were, so far, less than might have been expected. However, recent reports showing consistent increases in usage are encouraging. I emphasize that these data are based on only a very short experience and limited to a few of our territories; therefore, they are not necessarily representative of future performance. True commercial, billable, service was initiated in many of the already deployed territories starting as late as March, and roll-out is only just underway in some of our most promising countries, such as Canada, Brazil and Australia. Moreover, commercial service has not yet begun, but will soon be initiated in China, Russia and South Africa. Further, data for the number of subscribers, actual billable minutes of usage, telephones at distribution points or the number of telephones sold are in the hands of our service providers who, for competitive reasons, guard the information. Consequently, we are reluctant to distribute limited information which, and in any event, should not be taken as an indication of future performance.
Let me share with you some of the early data which, together with episodic reports, reinforce our confidence in Globalstar.
There is nothing unique about Globalstar's early deployment. It follows the experience of many other successful product roll-outs, including cellular phones, satellite television, and paging. It is worth noting that the earlier concerns about system performance, satellite launchings, telephone availability and limited capacity were over-blown. The overall Globalstar plan and deployment have been, so far, extraordinarily well-executed.
Similarly, Globalstar leadership has been pro-active in coordinating, supporting and shaping the territorial roll-out. Accordingly, we have helped to rationalize pricing of minutes, from 73½ a minute in China, less than $1.00 in South America, and about $1.50 in the United States. Also, we initiated plans for promotional marketing and advertising campaigns, and $400 retail price reductions of telephones. As we begin deployment of commercial service, it is appropriate to remind our shareholders of our performance in developing this most challenging technology and its conversion to a manufactured, low-cost consumer product.
We have successfully achieved the following:
* 52 satellites in orbit working extremely well;
* A network of command and control operations centers for space and ground functions - among the best facilities in the world;
* 14 gateways sited and in operation. By year-end, 27 gateways will be deployed, covering 121 countries;
* Roaming agreements in place covering North and South America and all of Europe, except Scandinavia and Eastern Europe. Total global roaming by June 30, 2000;
* Millions of minutes in completed telephone calls with high-fidelity voice quality;
* Successful billing systems for all participating countries;
* Global marketing and distribution networks;
* Three manufacturers producing mobile and fixed phones and accessories;
* Approximately 67,000 phones in distribution;
* Selecting CDMA as the technology of choice and working with Qualcomm to incorporate tri-mode (analog, digital and satellite) functionality in one mobile phone.
There have been recent questions about whether Globalstar's financial resources are adequate to complete the effort. At April 1st, Globalstar had $585 million in cash and available credit. At year end, assuming that a $250 million bank credit due December 31, 2000 currently not being used is not extended, Globalstar will need $160 million of revenue to avoid a cash shortfall. The company is considering several options to cover any potential shortage, including the possibility of support from equity partners. We are highly confident that sufficient resources are available to resolve this issue.
In closing, I wish to take note of the sharp decline in the market prices of our common shares and publicly-held bonds. I believe that the current price undervalues our accomplishments and prospects. The completion of the development phase, the successful placement of 52 satellites in orbit, the network of ground and space command centers, the worldwide distribution and marketing network (something Iridium never accomplished), the building of a global brand, and a unique high-quality voice and data design have significant value. I fully expect that our share price will improve as we continue to perform. We are confident of our business plan, we have the resources in place for continued successful execution, and a hugely talented team whose interests are perfectly aligned to shareholders' interest.
We truly are sensitive to investors' concerns, and we are addressing them as we achieve our plan. We are more confident than ever of success and look forward with enthusiasm. I believe your confidence is justified and that yours and our rewards will soon be realized.
Thank you. |