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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jackhach who wrote (43221)5/12/2000 3:42:00 PM
From: David E. Taylor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
JH:

The key here is whether PALM can hold this $25 level or not. If it does, as the arb gap closes, COMS will go up to 1.5 x PALM + COMS intrinsic value. Right now the arb gap is valuing COMS at around $4, a number that clearly has to increase. But it could increase to a more reasonable $15-$25 without any upward movement in COMS if PALM can't hold $25 and continues to slide through continued selling pressure and lack of buyers.

The PALM problem is the one we've had since IPO day - no volume buyers, because there's no reason to pay the market price for PALM directly when you can get it cheaper through COMS. I've been checking Thomson's on and off, and I haven't seen much institutional buying of PALM, so it's been retail buyers vs. short sellers so far, hence the 12.5 million short position. IMO, there's a good chance the short position will clear before 7/7, and if it does, both PALM and COMS should move up. I guess we'll see.

David T.