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To: gdichaz who wrote (4862)5/15/2000 8:42:00 AM
From: tero kuittinen  Respond to of 34857
 
The sleeper would be HDR... if the operators outside the IS-95 camp wouldn't be so nakedly hostile towards it. It won't wash without strong handset vendor support. Lucent and Qualcomm are the pivotal HDR backers - neither has a handset division. The top five phone manufacturers in the world all have extensive GPRS, Bluetooth and W-CDMA projects. Every one of them. There's only so much that the R&D departments can do.

Unless Nokia, Ericsson, Motorola, Siemens, Matsushita, Alcatel, NEC and Samsung start showing support for HDR, it will wither on the vine. You can't have a new standard without wide handset vendor backing.

EDGE is the sleeper if you look at the manufacturing and operator commitment - there's strong interest from Lucent, Ericsson and Nokia in infra and at least Ericsson and Nokia on the handset side. That's 50% market share power block in both markets. If European and Asian GSM operators that lose W-CDMA-licenses decide to go with EDGE, that along with North American TDMA operators is enough to make it the biggest 3G standard after W-CDMA - well ahead of cdma2000.

Tero