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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4895)5/16/2000 10:27:00 AM
From: Mika Kukkanen  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 34857
 
Just one word of caution. Although Vodafone have chosen UMTS (WCDMA) it does not indicate it will be within all its networks, as cdma2000 makes sense for certain markets -the US market in particular with its non-conformist spectrum allocation. Voda have probably already gotten assurances (done an AT&T) that there will be dual mode handset cdma2000/WCDMA. Mind you, for most people it aint needed (only as an addded value sell for the 'global' operator) as like GSM now, all you need for de facto world roaming is dual band handset (900/1900 - of course you could go tri-band, but even that is unnescessary if you are with a 900 or 1900MHz operator. To prove that, I have never heard of an 1800/1900 dual band?).

Oh well, let the games continue. And yes, I am far happier today.

M



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4895)5/16/2000 10:27:00 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34857
 
It's more or less the right time to ask what the hell is happening - the earlier projection was a 10 million subscriber CDMA network for Unicom by the end of this year

"Earlier" wasn't very long ago--just a few months as the clock flies. QCOM and its supporters had big expectations for China--I remember the stock getting a good shot in the arm the day of the initial announcement that QCOM had worked out a royalty arrangement with China. That was the initial catalyst for the interim rise from 105 5/8 intraday in late January to an interim high of 160 in late March. When news of a reneg came out, the interpretation was that it was merely a political issue. Market forces (read "CDMA") would win in the end. Well, it appears that market forces are winning, but not in the way expected.

In addition to the opportunity cost in China, one has to wonder if QCOM's cheap-royalty gambit will come back to haunt them. Cheap royalties is lowering the bar, which is likely to breed discontent among those with more expensive obligations (the Koreans).

Likewise, the lack of market momentum seems to have forced QCOM to be extremely accommodative to DDI w/r/t cdma2000. Do you think Sprint will make a note of that?



To: tero kuittinen who wrote (4895)5/16/2000 11:21:00 AM
From: JohnG  Respond to of 34857
 
Tero. China always said it would use the cheaper GSM for the more rural areas and the CDMA for densely populated cities. This is nothing new to those of us who have followed the issue.
JohnG