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To: freeus who wrote (19148)	5/17/2000 6:40:00 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 35685

the economic cycle is strange... in a late stage, the higher borrowing costs result in an inflationary final burst, which immediate precedes a recessionary pullback believe me, the recessionary pullback does wonders in fighting inflation but the Fed is not fighting inflation really it is fighting the gradual shrinking of the labor pool a recession would allow the labor supply to catch up I think Greenstein wants a reprieve, not a recession I think he will back off very very soon VP Gore is now badgering and jawboning him the Fed is technically independent, but not totally I truly believe the Fed raised 50 bpts partly to get this tightening cycle over with they are 25 bpt from done IMO / Jim