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Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JHP who wrote (33597)	5/18/2000 9:23:00 AM
From: marginmike	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42523

Got Gold???? Interesting conversation on my flight back with a Chinese Gentleman this morning.For the sake of privacy,this Gentleman runs a pretty large Import export business with offices in Shanghai,Hongkong and Middle East.Being curious about China and all the conflicting news that we get now a days,I wanted to hear what the average chinese had to say. My first question was on the state of the mobile industry in china, which to my surprise from what he said is not that far back as most people believe.It is mostly a matter of Rural china, As the Urban areas have existing services but many dropped calls.My conclusion was capacity constraints in urban areas and lack of service in rural areas(Globalstar came to mind). The next part of our conversation got me worried.He said there is a speech by the Taiwanese premiere on the 20th and if any mention of 2 Chinas,then You will see an invasion/blockade imminently.I pointed out that would ruin WTO acceptance and he pointed out that its more important for Europe and USA to do business in China than China having access to those markets. Asked about the relationship in the region with neighboring countries and a few interesting facts.The Japanese are hated with passion given their history and their support of Taiwan.The koreans are one of their major trading partners(Cdma 2000 came to mind). I came away with the following conclusions.WCDMA is dead and the Chinese will never go for it.Taiwan will be part of China in the near future and that is the main bargaining chip on the table for doing business in China.