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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (66537)5/18/2000 3:42:00 PM
From: ItsAllCyclical  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
>> 10% Cash is certainly better than riding on the "Mad-Max Margin" train....

30% allows one to "really" lay on the long side of a "cream puff" play if things get hinkey here <<

If I were a better market timer I'd build more cash. But it's tricky and tedious to say the least. Fundamentally HOFF is still cheap. Technically it's a little a head of itself. I could have sold around 11 today and tried to get back in at 9. However, long term I'm confident it'll see 20+ again. At this point in the cycle I'm going to keep my core positions. If I lose some money in the short term I'll make it up by loading up on margin if some great bargins are found.

I won't time the oils too much (other than margin usage), but I will time the techs. Given the valuations one still needs to be very careful there. I'm down to about 15% in techs and all of them are big-time laggards and many have good PE's or P/Sales ratios (NITE, WCOM, NTPA, ORCT, PKTR, PSIX).

BTW - someone wants EPEX today. Up on 4x normal volume. At 2x cash flows and still near a 52 week low it's still worth a little play money imho. Currently at 2 1/4. In at 2 1/8.