To: John Solder who wrote (23357 ) 5/19/2000 6:58:00 AM From: DanZ Respond to of 53068
CSCO, GUMM. CSCO: It could get ugly for this stock and the Nasdaq if CSCO gets below 55. If it gets below 55, I'd be out of a hold position unless it gets back through 55 to 55 1/4 or bounces off 50. I'm not predicting that it will get below 55, but with the S&P futures down 11 points right now, it could gap below that. Other than that, I'm going to continue scalping it in my personal account. GUMM: The IQC Zone indicator turned green (buy signal) last night. It has been red (sell signal) since February 7 when the stock closed at 26, down 3 15/16 for the day. The last time that the IQC Zone indicator changed from red to green was January 7 when GUMM closed at 18. The stock peaked at the 52 week high of 36 1/16 seventeen days later. The IQC Zone isn't 100% accurate (nothing is), but it is a very reliable indicator and it's not a good idea to bet against it. If the stock pulls back, I'd expect support at the 20 day moving average (middle bollinger band) at 11 1/4. If it gets below that, there is even stronger support at about 10. I bought a little yesterday to add to what I bought earlier in the week at 11 1/8. If it dips, I'll be a much more aggressive buyer. I think that there is nil chance of GUMM getting below 10 and the upside is many times greater than that. The risk/reward of a long position is very good. The risk/reward of a short position is pitiful. I think that the forward fundamentals support a much higher stock price and the volume has dried up, making it very difficult for anyone, much less the 1.3 million shorts, to buy any size. All the bad news is out on it and the stock has been acting well. A lot of good news is on the way and there are many reasons for the stock to go up from here.