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To: Sam Citron who wrote (103666)5/19/2000 3:26:00 PM
From: Bob Kim  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Sam, I mentioned the article because you seemed to think that things were kosher the first time around. I believe the major media assume that asymmetric dissemination is common practice.



To: Sam Citron who wrote (103666)5/19/2000 4:39:00 PM
From: Robert Rose  Respond to of 164684
 
Friday May 19, 4:16 pm Eastern Time

Sharp drop in U.S. online trading volume seen in May

By Greg Cresci

NEW YORK, May 19 (Reuters) - Stock trading volumes at online brokerage firms are likely to show a steep
drop in May as rudderless U.S. markets sap investor appetite, analysts said on Friday.

The torrent of Internet-based stock trades is off 35 percent so far this month from already sagging April levels, according to influential industry
analyst Jim Marks of investment bank Credit Suisse First Boston.

The trend, which has been acknowledged by top executives in the industry, has caused analysts like Marks to take a dimmer view of the profit
outlook for online brokerages.

``Our models for all these companies call for a decline in second-quarter earnings,'' Marks said. ``Until we see some improvement in market
performance or at least a stabilisation, and especially a reduction in intraday volatility, one should not be very optimistic regarding trading volumes.''

At Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:SCH - news), the No. 1 U.S. discount and Internet brokerage, April's total customer daily average trades fell 8
percent from March to 386.8 thousand.

``After starting this year with four very active months, overall market volumes have declined recently and we are once again experiencing the
seasonal pattern that we've seen in the past two years -- our customers' trading activity thus far in May is down from April levels,'' Schwab
President and Co-chief Executive David Pottruck, said in a recent statement.

The decline in stock trades is coming off a record first quarter, when investors funnelled a record 1.4 million trades a day through the Internet, up
from around 800,000 in the fourth quarter.

But there's more than seasonal factors at work, analysts and industry executives said. The Nasdaq composite index, which is the barometer of
America's fast-growing technology companies, is down 33 percent from its high of 5048.62 on March 10. Investors tend to trade less in a falling
market.

At TD Waterhouse Group Inc. (NYSE:TWE - news), the No. 2 U.S. discount brokerage with 2.8 million customer accounts, trading volumes are
also on the wane.

``There will be peaks and valleys created by the market conditions, so the trend will be impacted as to its speed by market events but not to its
general direction.'' said TD Waterhouse's chief executive, Stephen McDonald, in a telephone interview. McDonald added that the trend toward
online investing was still strong.

A drop in investors' enthusiasm for minute-to-minute online stock trading reflects broader characteristics of the market, such as weakness in the
initial public offering (IPO) market, said Greg Smith, an analyst with investment bank Chase Hambrecht & Quist.

``Online trading volumes are going to track performance and if people are doing well, they're going to trade more and you get this speculative fever
that bleeds into the market,'' Smith said. ``There just isn't as much of that speculative froth in the marketplace right now.''

Barring a market breakdown, analysts do see volumes pick up again in the traditionally strong fourth quarter.

``I think it'll be a bit of a jolt to see that volumes are down 20 percent sequentially, or even more in May versus April, but I think at the end of the
day people will look back and realise we had this before,'' Smith said.

Daily volume in Nasdaq stocks averaged 1.9 billion shares in March, but that slumped to 1.87 billion shares in April. As of Friday, May 12, it
stood at 1.74 billion year to date.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the world's No. 1 stock market, daily volume averaged 1.14 billion shares in March and 1.06 billion shares in
April. As of last Friday, the NYSE average daily share volume stood at 800.5 million year to date.

``Unless the market has a dramatic upward move, I think we are in for a bit of a lull here through the summer,'' Smith said. ``You can't go straight
up forever, there's got to be a let up.''