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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: el paradisio who wrote (51554)5/21/2000 10:32:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
EP, the dollar will rally if the SE Asia markets go down, as the US is perceived as bastion of stability and interest rates are substantial higher.

That said the dollar is quite topy and only a rise in the Euro will topple it. On the other hand the Euro will rise only if interest rates will rise over there , which IMHO presently is unlikely doe the substantial amount of unemployment.

THerefore the energy pricing's are crucial as they are dictated by the market and quoted in dollars.

If oil will go down the dollar will remain relative strong IMHO for the short term. (several months)

Then trade deficit and uncertainty of the election will kick in.

BWDIK
Haim