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Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KyrosL who wrote (34964)5/23/2000 9:08:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 42523
 
KL, certainly an argument worthy of consideration. but note that even so, the US has also seen periods during which the savings rate rose sharply from depressed levels. invariably those coincided with bear markets and recessions. it is not as if NOTHING can stop the US consumer, especially with household debt at a record level vs. disposable income.
but i agree that the mentality of the US consumer, the overall more positive attitude makes it likely that a recovery will be easier to achieve. this is not a certainty engraved in stone however. i guess it depends on the severity of the slump when it comes.
it is after all not unthinkable that a period during which everything that could go right actually did go right, could be replaced by a period during which everything that can go wrong will actually go wrong.



To: KyrosL who wrote (34964)5/23/2000 10:36:00 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 42523
 
<The propensity of Americans to consume and Japanese to save may be good for America, in a perverse sort of way, since it almost precludes us falling into a liquidity trap, after the bubble bursts.>

I couldn't disagree more, except for the fact that bankruptcy is 'easy' here... there won't be spending like we've seen for years if the big one really hits.

DAK