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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marginmike who wrote (3311)5/25/2000 12:25:00 AM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
Thanks for the article MM. Always good to hear both sides of the QCOM debate. Does this alter your PEG rate for QCOM and perception of upside for QCOM?

You still think QCOM 60's intraday one more chance?

My bet says NO MAS... I think the next run is to low 90's then maybe one intraday whipsaw test back to mid to highs 70's sometime in early June worst case scenario with another potential rough patch then back upward and onward .. I think we will see QCOM 110 by end of June.

Your QCOM price action timeframe???

Best Regards, J.T.



To: marginmike who wrote (3311)5/25/2000 12:32:00 AM
From: LBstocks  Respond to of 19219
 
Peter Wonacott has been spinning that same FUD for weeks now. He bases his entire theory on the relatively little attention given to CDMA in China Unicom's registration statement and some unidentified investment banker with inside information. What a crock of sh*t! Wonacott has absolutely no credibility in my opinion. He is either an idiot or a paid shill.



To: marginmike who wrote (3311)5/25/2000 12:39:00 AM
From: LBstocks  Respond to of 19219
 
More re Peter Wonacott: Here are my recent e-mails to him and his responses (start at the bottom)>

XXXXX
Thanks for your note. In reporting from Beijing for three years and now HK,
I've seen how long it's taken for Unicom to roll out CDMA. Like the DJ
article states, Im sure the company isn't abandoning the asset (surely it
wouldn't behoove them to alienate potential investors now) but there's a lot
of uncertainty as to when it will be deployed. So currently Unicom's
priority seems to be on developing GSM. I double checked this Wednesday with
the underwriter who gave me this information for Tuesday's article. She
assured me that's what Unicom officials are telling the underwriting
syndicate. Perhaps more of this will be explained in the company's listing
prospectus.

Hope this helps, and please feel free to exchange any thoughts or
information you have in the future on this subject.

Regards,
Peter Wonacott

-----Original Message-----
From: XXXXXXX [mailto:XXXXXXXX]
Sent: Wednesday, 17 May, 2000 22:01
To: Wonacott, Peter
Subject: Re: China Unicom article

Peter-
Thanks for getting back to me. I'm sure you've seen the article below from
Dow Jones and the comments from China Unicom.
XXXX

China Unicom: Still Awaiting Govt Word On
CDMA Rollout

Dow Jones Newswires

BEIJING -- China United Telecommunications Corp.'s plan to deploy
networks using code division multiple access, or CDMA, mobile
communications technology remains on hold just weeks ahead of its
multibillion dollar initial public offering, a company spokesman said
Wednesday.

"We are still waiting for an official decision by the government," Zhang
Jiakun, an official in the company's news office, told Dow Jones
Newswires. "Relevant (government) departments are working on this, and
we can't do it until they provide their views."

The CDMA rollout is part of plans by China United Telecom, or Unicom,
to raise up to $4 billion in an IPO slated for June. The unit to be listed,
China Unicom Ltd., controls the right to develop networks based on
CDMA, as well as to existing mobile networks based on the competing
GSM standard.

As reported, Unicom, the country's second largest telecoms company,
plans to use the proceeds from its IPO to help finance a three-year 104.8
billion yuan (US$1=CNY8.28) expansion program, according to the
company's prospectus.

Unicom struck a deal in February with U.S.-based Qualcomm Inc.
(QCOM), which holds most of the patents to CDMA, on the licensing
terms for CDMA use by Chinese mobile operators. Within a week,
however, foreign executives involved in CDMA projects in China said the
government had suspended the CDMA rollout.

At a news conference in March, Premier Zhu Rongzhi denied reports of a
government suspension, but said CDMA projects had been delayed
because Unicom failed to properly coordinate its plans with the Ministry of
Information Industry, the country's telecoms regulator.

"I think it won't be long before there is a settlement to this question,"
Zhu
said.

Unicom's Zhang said despite the continued delay, Unicom hasn't given up
on CDMA.

"We are moving forward with GSM," he said. "(But) I haven't heard
anyone say Unicom is abandoning CDMA to go all out on GSM."

-By Jason Dean; 8610 6532-6652; jason.dean@dowjones.com

----- Original Message -----
From: "Wonacott, Peter" <Peter.Wonacott@awsj.com>
To: "XXXXXXXXXXX" <XXXXXXXXXXX>
Sent: Tuesday, May 16, 2000 11:07 PM
Subject: RE: China Unicom article

> Mr XXXXX
>
> Thank you for your note.
>
> First of all, to address the tail end of your response to my article, I
> don't report rumors. The part of the article you take issue with came from
> an interview with an underwriter, who is very familiar with Unicom's
> development plans. Also, the pre-marketing listing documents - which I
> obtained from a fund manager - mentions only that the company has received
> approval to develop a CDMA network. In essence, it's identifying an asset.
> However, this document doesn't say whether, how or when Unicom will
develop
> this network. The SCMP article, you may note, doesn't either.
>
> As you probably know, CDMA has been mired in red tape for years while GSM
> networks are going up all over China.
>
> Hope this answers your query. From your note, it appears that you are
quite
> interested in the company. I'd be happy to discuss your views on Unicom or
> China's telecom market. Please call anytime.
>
> Regards
> Peter Wonacott
> (852) 2831-2503
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: XXXXXXXX [mailto:XXXXXXXXXXX]
> Sent: Wednesday, 17 May, 2000 13:05
> To: Wonacott, Peter
> Subject: China Unicom article
>
>
> Mr. Wonacott-
> I am writing regarding your article about China Unicom's public offering.
I
> take issue with the following statement:
>
> "In another possible blow to foreign companies working with Unicom, the
> company has decided to set aside plans to develop its code division
> multiple access, or CDMA, technology, in favor of upgrading its global
> service for mobile communications, or GSM, network."
>
> What is your source? Has the company actually made such a statement? Or,
> is this just a rumor?
>
> Here's an article from today's South China Morning Post that directly
> contradicts your statement:
>
>
scmp.com
> 904409.asp
>
> The article states in pertinent part:
>
> "The flotation is part of Beijing's attempts to turn China Unicom into a
> credible competitor to dominant China Telecom, after giving it priority to
> develop the CDMA (code division multiple access) mobile-phone network and
> granting it paging giant Guoxin Paging free of charge.
>
> Assets to be included in the listing vehicle, according to the document,
are
> China Unicom's cellular businesses in 12 provinces and cities and the
right
> to develop the CDMA network."
>
> Please explain. Thanks.
> XXXXXXX



To: marginmike who wrote (3311)5/25/2000 1:00:00 AM
From: LBstocks  Respond to of 19219
 
This is from a more credible source:
Chinese suppliers prepare for CDMA bandwagon
By Sunray Liu
EE Times
(05/24/00, 4:45 p.m. EST)

SHENZHEN, China ? A handful of telecommunications equipment makers are moving China closer to becoming a major generator of code division multiple access (CDMA) systems.

Huawei Technology Co. Ltd. (Shenzhen, China), one of the country's leading telecommunications equipment makers, said its CDMA system has passed a comprehensive set of tests conducted by China's Ministry of Information Industry. Huawei's M800 CDMA system complies with relevant Chinese and international telecommunications specifications, the company said. Other Chinese producers like Zhongxing Telecom Ltd., also based here, and Datang Telecom (Beijing), hope to roll out CDMA systems as the specification becomes widely adopted in an effort to challenge the North American and South Korean manufacturers that currently dominate the field.

These companies' commercial development and production of programmable switches, as well as their cooperation with companies like Texas Instruments Inc. (Dallas) and Qualcomm Inc. (San Diego), have fueled progress on CDMA technology.

Based on its switching technology, intelligent network, wireless communications, ATM/IP and chip design expertise, Huawei developed it M800 CDMA core network solution, which includes MSC/VLR, HLR/AC, OMC, GMSC, short message center, mobile IN and customer service center equipment.

During testing, the test team not only focused on the industry standards but also the global status of CDMA's A interface. Thus, they adopted the A interface test proposal of the CDMA Development Group. The testers found that the A interface connecting the switching subsystem to the basestation subsystem met China's government standards and is compatible with the IS-634 and IOS20-21 specifications. The MAP interface also conformed to the TIA/EIA-41D spec and is compatible with IS-41C specifications, government testers said.

The testers added that Huawei's M800 CDMA system passed over 400 testing indexes during the review. The M800 MSC/VLR can reach up to 1 million subscribers, which will be helpful for carriers, especially at the beginning of their network development.

Huawei has invested heavily in its third-generation (3G) wireless communication system. A company source said it has already reached some milestones in the development process. Huawei's GSM and CDMA system can be upgraded to 3G in the future, the source said.
eetimes.com