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To: Tradegod who wrote (574)5/25/2000 12:36:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 57684
 
I'm avoiding VERT for now. The BtoB seems to have lost
interest among the traders and I'm afraid it's gonna lag other sectors if this rally holds. This
is just a gut feel and not based on any sophisticated chart work.


I tend to agree but am not sure I want to take the loss now and move the funds elsewhere. I can't seem to time a market sentiment change so the buy and hold may work best for me.

One that confuses me is ATML. It was a
momo stock and has been halved. My understanding is they are one of a few providers of key
components (flash, etc) for cellular and other non pc hot items. These items are severely
constrained which makes me think that business should be brisk


I just started to look at them. Flash has to be in huge demand. I have to see who are their competitors.

I did become more aggressive on MU today. I wrote naked puts the October 60s and bought more shares at 59 and change.

I had read a lot on flash months ago but I can't recall much of it now meaning who had the capacity, etc.

Speaking of being halved but being in a good product line is SBL in my opinion. My average cost there is in the low 50s?? It has been really squished too.



To: Tradegod who wrote (574)5/25/2000 12:45:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Investment Highlights:
? In today?s evening edition of the Nihon Keizai, it was reported that Sharp
Corp., the world?s 4th largest flash memory supplier in 1999, is increasing
pricing on its flash memory products by up to 30% on rising demand from
mobile phone manufacturers.
? In our opinion, this is a substantial pricing increase and is a further
indication of the accelerating scarcity in the supply of flash memory
products driven by a multitude of end market applications, including cell
phones, set-top boxes, personal computers, and personal digital assistants.
? We believe that Atmel ($45 3/8; C-2-1-9) ? with its nearly 30% exposure of
revenues coming from flash memory ? is particularly well positioned to
capitalize on the explosive demand for flash. At the Merrill Lynch
Hardware Heaven conference earlier this week, Atmel stated that bookings
for the company are accelerating ? particularly for memory and
application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) products sold into cell phones
? and the company now appears to be capacity constrained for the
remainder of C00 and well into C01. Atmel also stated that it believes the
supply situation is going to get worse before it gets better.
? Given that Intel is Sharp?s manufacturing partner for flash, we believe this
news makes it a likely scenario that Intel also should continue to raise
prices on its flash memory products.
? We reiterate our Accumulate/Buy ratings on ATML and our 12-18 month
price objective of $75.
Bulletin
United States
Semiconductors
5 May 2000
Eric Rothdeutsch
Vice President
Christopher Danely
Industry Analyst
Flash Memory Scarcity
Accelerating
Sharp to Raise Flash Pricing by 30%;
Good News For ATML and others
Reason for Report: Company Update
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#10212607
Industry