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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (52127)5/25/2000 5:03:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bank Credit Analyst expecting a final washout in tech:

No Capitulation in U.S. Tech Stocks, Yet
(Thu May 25 14:09 2000)
The sharp slide in U.S. tech
stocks has not yet triggered a
capitulation, even though losses
have been massive. As noted in
an Insight yesterday, tech
indexes are still overbought (i.e.
up sharply on year ago levels).
Stunningly, the percentage of
equity advisors who claim to be
bearish has not soared, only
crept up. During the 1999 market
dip, the number of bears
jumped, and the measure
soared when the overall market
declined 20% in the autumn of
1998. This resilience in the face
of growing losses and clear
indications that the monetary
backdrop will deteriorate until the
economy weakens, is a classic
sign of denial. Conclusion: it is
too soon to ?buy-the-dips?, the
correction will not end until the
percentage of bears is much
higher.