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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gersh Avery who wrote (23707)5/28/2000 4:29:00 PM
From: Dan Duchardt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
Gersh,

What happins when the baby boomers do indeed retire? This would represent decades of liquidity being slowly removed from the market.

I can't speak for all baby boomers, but as a near charter member of that organization I can tell you what one of us will do. IF I can accomplish what I hope, I won't be removing anything from the market except what I need to support myself and family, and my hope is that will always represent a portion of my future gains and none of what I have accumulated to date. So the impact from me will be (actually already is, but that's a long story not all that different from Don's) a halt in adding new capital to the market, not a reduction in what I have there, at least not in my lifetime. That puts me on the same footing as a lot of people making their living from the market, taking their gains to live on while maintaining a relatively flat amount of working capital. A bigger effect may be further down the road when we boomers start dying off and our estates are disbursed to heirs, inheritance taxes, charities, etc.

I found this thread from a reference by KM on another thread. I posted a message there that points out some longer term trends in the Dow and S&P that suggest to me at least that the real bear has not yet arrived. I have no idea if it will.

Message 13790743

Dan



To: Gersh Avery who wrote (23707)5/29/2000 12:16:00 PM
From: Oak Tree  Respond to of 42787
 
Baby boomers (1) won't be retiring for at least a decade (2) the baby boom is a 15 years "boom" so that the effect will easily be averaged out.