To: QwikSand who wrote (32426 ) 5/30/2000 9:34:00 AM From: JDN Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
Dear QS: Here I go again, your ever faithful WATCHDOG for meaningless statements. OK, first off, Surprise, I generally agree with the thrust of the article, HOWEVER, there are at least 2 major errors in it IMHO. 1. "transaction money -- narrowly defined to include domestic currency and plain-vanilla checking accounts that don't pay interest -- has hardly changed since 1997" I am on the Board of Directors of a Bank, I have been on the Board of TWO banks in the past 5 years. I say this to indicate I know SOMETHING about banking. Here is the FACTS. Banking has modernized tremendously and has adapted to the changing market conditions (ie incredible competition from entities not formerly thought of as banking facilities). OK one of the changes has been the evolving of the "plain vanila checking accts". It has been superceded by a variety of plans, generally based upon some type of "SWEEP ACCOUNT" wherein excess funds daily are swept into interest bearing accounts NOT demand deposits. I believe it is THAT type of thing that causes the above statement to be FALSE. If you dont believe me just take a look at the cash balances of most corporations, dont they seem to be MUCH HIGHER these days? It is also likely that if AG is right about the so called "Wealth effect" individuals probably have higher cash balances too. It just isnt in "plain vanilla checking", people are now more sophisticated then that. 2."more basic level, investors must remember that productivity gains are largely concentrated in manufacturing, where the number of production workers hasn't changed significantly since the 1940s, while the job gains have been in service sectors where productivity improvements have been few and far between" This statement is not only NONSENSABLE (hey my post, my word), but INCORRECT. While it is true most job gains are in the service level that does NOT imply service hasnt gained incredible productivity. Think of the internet and all that it brings, unless their sole definition of service is flipping hamburgers they totally ignore the large gains in productivity, for instance just in banking think of all the things you can now do without ever seeing a human being. As to the manufacturing industry, true great productivity gains and little or no growth in factory workers. But, that is really due to the changing face of American business. In Thomas Jeffersons day we were an Agrarian economy (Great Britian was the industrial), shortly after WWII WE were the KING of Industry (other nations were rebuilding their destroyed industries). Now, through globalization USA keeps the CREAM of the crop jobs and farms out to lesser countries the drudge work, we are moving to the TOP OF THE FOOD CHAIN--SERVICE. So, whats the beef? AGAIN, IMHO Barrons is CRYING WOLF to SELL THEIR REALLY LOUSY PAPER. JDN