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To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (10692)6/1/2000 11:13:00 AM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 24042
 
Excellent point (market began up prior to the end of Fed tightening). The stock market is a leading indicator.

However, we still have a lot of pent up employment cost pressure at this juncture. If I recall correctly, the opposite was true in 94. Employment cost pressure takes a lot more time for Fed tightening to release--way more than, say, auto sales.

Furthermore, we were not fighting record valuations in 94.

In short, the fundamental conditions between then and now are very different.

I enjoy your posts. But, you really should agree with me! <g>

David Todtman