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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (23975)	6/1/2000 8:37:00 PM
From: Jerry Olson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42787

Don was just talking about you<G>...it was good...hahahaha yeah we sorta erupted here huh?.. a pullback would be normal now..i agree...but i will buy any dip till otherwise... this markets going higher...the eco numbers are slowing, and everyone can see it..and without any real impact from the last 1-2 hikes yet.. gee i hope he doesn't slam on the brakes here...we are still in a sweet spot biz wise...semis look awesome and their cheap.. my bet is he may raise .25, but not .50 if at all. if that occurs later this month..we will have the resumption of the bull market with all it's lunacy all over again... i'll be right there riding this bull..and this will be the shortest bear market ever recorded...ever..<g>... in fact...if he raises even .50, but makes a statement that he's done, or less aggressive..the same result will ocurr... this may be a win-win-win situation...hmmmmm...lots of possabilities huh??? gee suppose he don't raise at all???? uh ohhh... my best to you..Juice...

To: donald sew who wrote (23975)	6/1/2000 11:25:00 PM
From: Dan Duchardt	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42787

Donald, A sort of question, or just thinking out loud about the put/call ratio. I don't know the relative weights of the contributions of different options strategies to the overall volume, but I do know there are strategies that are not particularly bullish that involve only calls and no puts. I'm dabbling with one right now that involves call debit spreads with LEAPS where I hope to capitalize on the low market, and the downtrend to get into some spreads very cheaply (actually hoping to get them for free) that will not pay off for a long time. The idea is that in the short term I'm not particularly bullish, but I do think that over the next year and a half some beaten down stocks will at some point be higher than they are now. Other people write covered calls and spreads with a long LEAPS and a short near term call. They just write deeper in the money calls when things look weak, and out of the money when the market looks stronger. My guess is that most people are just more comfortable with calls, and that skews the volume to that side, even when the near term future does not look so rosy. It might be more significant to see how the prices of the options relative to the underlying stock change instead of looking at volume ratios. I don't know where to find that data. Any comments? Dan