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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tom Byron who wrote (53497)6/1/2000 10:12:00 PM
From: baystock  Respond to of 116767
 
Glitter back in the gold market
(goArmy)
Jun 01, 21:25

MUMBAI
GOLD is back in vogue. After nearly two years in which
its prices were on a slippery slope, the yellow metal is
bullish again.

Indians, who are the world?s biggest consumers of the
precious metal, are expected to remain big buyers as
fears of a prolonged drought have been put at rest by
official forecasts that the monsoon would arrive on time
and rains would be normal.

"Although prices are now on the higher side, there is
more demand for gold which will peak during the marriage
season later this year," says Vijubhai Zaveri, a
jewellery dealer at Mumbai?s Zaveri Bazaar, one of the
biggest gold trading centres in the country.

The World Gold Council is now backing Zaveri?s claims
with statistics. According to the WGC?s quarterly Gold
Demand Trends survey, Indians purchased 135.2 tonnes of
the yellow metal between January and March this year, a
3 per cent increase over the first quarter of 1999.

Should the trend continue throughout the year, gold
imports for 2000 will exceed the 573.8 tonnes of gold
imported in 1999. Indians account for 25 per cent of the
gold sold in the world.

More than 10 per cent of the gold mined in the world
since time immemorial is now stored in India, chiefly
among housewives in the country, according to the WGC.
This does not include clandestine imports of gold from
Dubai which account for a substantial chunk of imports
into India.

"Roughly 30 per cent of the gold sold in the souks of
Dubai are destined for India," says an observer of the
gold trade. Statistics seem to bear him out.

In 1998, just after the Indian government reduced import
duties on gold to Rs 250 per 10 gm, purchases via
official channels shot up to 613.7 tonnes. However, an
increase in duty to Rs 400 per 10 gm saw sales drop to
573.8 tonnes.

Gold sold in India costs nearly 12 to 15 per cent more
than in international markets. Despite the price
differences, the WGC has forecast demand for the current
year at 795.2 tonnes.

A robust economy with the consensus forecast for higher
gross domestic product growth in the current fiscal,
buoyant industrial growth, continuing economic reform
and the vibrant software sector are positive indicators
for a good demand for gold in India, the report from the
WGC said.

?The projected growth of the Indian economy augurs well
for gold demand in the country. Overall, we anticipate a
good monsoon to provide the necessary boost to
agricultural production thus improving rural incomes. To
a certain extent, this may offset the impact of the
drought prevailing in certain specific pockets of the
country," Derrick Macdo, regional director (India), WGC,
said.

Demand for gold in India is expected to remain high
despite an increase in price. The gold price, which
touched a low of Rs 3,500 per 10 gm a couple of years
ago, has now risen to Rs 4,380 per 10 gm. A spokesman
for the WGC attributed the strong price to a decision by
the European Central Bank to stagger sales of gold in
the open market. ? Reuters