To: John Pitera who wrote (1946 ) 6/2/2000 9:48:00 AM From: John Pitera Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
private-sector payrolls-- biggest decline since November 1991... New job growth FALLS 126,000. The offset was 357,000 temporary hires ( US Govt Census Workers) So we are seeing the effect of the 6 federal reserve rate hikes as predicted on This thread. As was highlighted in the John Berry article here 8 weeks ago Fed Monetary Policy has a 6 to 9 to 12 months Lag, between action and result. John -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unemployment Rose to 4.1% in May As Payrolls Grew Less Than Expected A WSJ.COM News Roundup June 2, 2000 WASHINGTON -- The unemployment rate rose in May for the first time in three months as the economy created surprisingly few jobs and generated no significant wage increases, strong evidence that the economy is cooling off. The unemployment rate rose from a 30-year low to 4.1% in May, the Labor Department said Friday. Nonfarm payrolls, meanwhile, rose by a smaller-than-expected 231,000 jobs in May. Excluding hiring for Census 2000, payrolls declined by 126,000 jobs. The government also revised upward its estimate of April payrolls, raising it by 74,000 to 414,000.The result was scant inflationary pressure. Average hourly earnings rose 0.1%, or one cent, to $13.65 in May. In annual terms, hourly wages rose 3.5% in May, down from the 3.9% gain recorded in April. And workers put in fewer hours on the job: The average work week shortened by six minutes to 34.4 hours, another sign the economy may be slowing. Economists survey by Thomson Global Markets expected the unemployment rate to remain steady at the 3.9% level recorded in April and for payrolls to increase by 388,000 jobs . Earnings were seen coming in at $13.67. Friday's report thus is a strong sign that the Federal Reserve's year-long campaign of interest-rate increase is cooling the economy. Recent soft readings on retail sales, home sales and manufacturing activity also have pointed to some moderation in economic activity. The Labor Department said most of the job creation in May was at the Census Bureau, where 357,000 people were hired for the government's once-a-decade population count. On the hand, private-sector payrolls posted the biggest decline since November 1991, falling by 116,000 jobs in May. That's down from April's increase of 296,000. Manufacturing payrolls fell by 17,000 during May, the first decline since February. Factory payrolls expanded by a total of 13,000 in March and April. The service-producing sectors created barely half as many jobs in May as in April. Service payrolls rose by 278,000 jobs after a 435,000 increase in the prior month.