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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (52886)6/2/2000 1:22:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bank Credit Analyst Skeptical of Jobs Report

U.S. Employment: A New Trend Or A Bogus Report?
(Fri Jun 02 09:30 2000)
Today?s employment report
showed a sharp drop after
excluding census jobs. This
report is at odds with all other
labor market indicators. The
weekly unemployment claims
series has been stable at very
low levels (no layoffs). Surveys of
new hiring have stayed strong
(Manpower employment, NFIB
job openings and the
Conference Board?s ?jobs
plentiful? indexes, as well as the
Fed?s Beige Book). Therefore,
we would not read too much into
today?s data, as the report is
notoriously volatile. The
explosive rise in bond and equity
prices will, however, stimulate an
economy that is still in need of
restraint. While the Fed may
decide to stand pat at the next
FOMC meeting, this would only
stoke the equity mania and risk
forcing tougher monetary
medicine down the road.



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (52886)6/2/2000 1:27:00 PM
From: Jon Tara  Respond to of 99985
 
OK, Haim - in other words - post hoc ergo proctor hoc.