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To: yu who wrote (24062)6/2/2000 7:36:00 PM
From: Follies  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 

I wonder did this happen before black Monday or after. Was gold moving up in 1987 a warning of the upcoming crash, or a result of the crash?


Interesting question. Gold rallied into Oct and continued through to Dec of 87 at 486, a price not seen since!!

Gold bottomed in Feb of 1985 at 298, moved up rapidly Jul to Oct of 1986 at 423, pulled back to 391 by Dec of 1986 and then here is 1987

1/87 409
2/87 401
3/87 409
4/87 439
5/87 461
6/87 449
7/87 451
8/87 451
9/87 459
10/87 465
11/87 468
12/87 486 <---- 13 Year High!! (held for 13 years)



To: yu who wrote (24062)6/2/2000 8:59:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 42787
 
yu, in 1987, commodities and rates were rising right into the top in 1987, the xau topped and crashed with the rest in 1987, as did rates.

this market is not at all 1987, but historical references always offer some rhymes.

there is a tremendous short overhang in the gold market and the xau has reached in the last couple of months a couple of oversold readings on several indicators that have only been reached at major bottoms in the last 20 years, at minimum a really nice bear market rally is very overdue.

the reason i have indicated that a new high is due in nasdaq is that i now am agreeing with tradingtech's call that the top in march was a wave 3 top from the 1998 lows. In March we had something like 500 new highs near the top in early march, the next top i would look for probably under a 100 new highs, to make a bearish non=confirmation.

b