To: Frank Ferrari who wrote (3500 ) 6/5/2000 11:08:00 AM From: whitephosphorus Respond to of 4913
CERT:B-Spec;CERTICOM TARGETS WIRELESS VPN MARKET, FORGERS MULTIPLE ALLIANCES Dain Rauscher Wessels a division of Dain Rauscher Incorporated * Certicom announces a new VPN client for wireless and mobile markets. * Major industry players are expected to incorporate and promote Certicom's ECC technology. * We believe this latest round of support from significant players further validates Certicom's unique and superior offering and underlines its leadership position in the rapidly expanding wireless security market. * We reiterate our Buy-Speculative rating on CERT shares with a 12-month price target of $65. Certicom Corp. NASDAQ:CERT Rating: Buy Risk: Speculative Price Target: $ 65 Jun 5, 2000 _____________________________________________________________________________ Price: $50.12 | Fiscal Yr Prev EPS P/E 52-Wk Range: $166-$7 | Apr/2000E ($0.87) NM Tr. 12 ROE: NM | Apr/2001E ($1.42) NM 3 Yr EPS Gr: NM | Apr/2002E ($1.10) NM Shares Out: 12.75 million | 2000 Q4 ($0.41) Book Value: | Market Cap: $639.09 million| _____________________________________________________________________________ Calendar Yr Prev EPS P/E 1999A ($0.71) NM 2000E ($1.41) NM 2001E ($1.24) NM _____________________________________________________________________________ Fiscal Yr Prev Revenue* MC/Rev Apr/1999A $4.04 NM Apr/2000E $11.76 54.3x Apr/2001E $20.53 31.1x Apr/2002E $33.70 19.0x Calendar Yr Prev Revenue* MC/Rev 1999A $8.88 71.9x 2000E $17.37 36.8x 2001E $28.67 22.3x __________________________________________________________________________ INTERNET INFRASTRUCTURE AND APPLI Stephen Sigmond (612) 313-1223 ssigmond@dainrauscher.com CERT:B-Spec;CERTICOM TARGETS WIRELESS VPN MARKET, FORGERS MULTIPLE ALLIANCES Details: ||Certicom announced a new VPN client for wireless and mobile devices. Targeted at corporate users, the software client is expected to enable easy incorporation of standard wireless and mobile devices into enterprise VPNs. The client is designed to provide interoperability with current VPN products by supporting a wide range of encryption algorithms (including Certicom's high-performance ECC technology targeted at wireless VPNs). Alliances were also announced to achieve interpretability with offerings from major VPN vendors including Cisco, Check Point, Nortel, Alcatel, AXENT Technologies, Enterasys Networks, Intel, Qualcomm, and Spring Tide Networks. In addition, the new client will enable existing IP-enabled handheld devices to be covered by VPN service providers. Under these alliances, Certicom is expected to enjoy a preferred technology provider status with its partners. Furthermore, the partners are expected to re-engineer their wireless offerings to incorporate Certicom's ECC technology. A beta version of the new client is expected later this month with a production version available towards the end of this year. The client will initially support Palm OS, followed by WinCE, and EPOCH operating systems. || ||Analysis: ||We believe the new product announcement and alliances offer a win-win proposition for all parties involved-with significant strategic advantages for Certicom. We believe both the wireless device manufacturers (e.g., Palm) and service providers (e.g., Qualcom) are seeing increased demand from corporate customers for wireless VPNs. The superior performance of Certicom's ECC-based offering (up to 100x faster in VPN applications compared to traditional solutions) and the new software client would offer a quick and efficient realization of wireless VPN using standard wireless devices. We believe Certicom stands to benefit three-fold from its product and alliance initiatives. First, by proactively introducing the industry's first software client to secure standard wireless devices, Certicom is not only securing its leadership position but also expanding its market opportunity. Second, the alliances with major industry players and their willingness to re-engineer products are firm validations of Certicom's technology and product offerings, and would result in valuable co-branding opportunities. Finally, the new alliances provide Certicom access to a huge installed base of wireless and mobile devices. || ||While revenue impact is not expected until the early part of next year, we believe that seeding future revenue streams via a wide installed base is critical at this stage of the game. As end-users initiate security for their wireless devices, Certicom expects to earn yearly subscription fees for each device deploying its technology. Stock Opinion We reiterate our Buy-Speculative rating and 12-month price target of $65 on CERT shares. Our target is based on a 29x multiple of our calendar 2001 revenue estimate of $28.7 million, a valuation that is in line with comparable Internet companies. Company Description Certicom Corp. is the leading encryption technology company specializing in security solutions for mobile computing and wireless data markets.