SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DownSouth who wrote (25879)6/5/2000 12:26:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Jerry,

Thanks for that clarification. One more question: In your opinion, is NTAP's solution proprietary and open?

--Mike Buckley



To: DownSouth who wrote (25879)6/5/2000 5:48:00 PM
From: tekboy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Some relevant passages on that topic from Moore's new book:

"Technology provides the deepest layer of the competitive-advantage hierarchy because it generates the tallest GAPs and the longest CAPs. Specifically, we are talking about disruptive technologies that constitute discontinuous innovations, ones that offer an order of magnitude or more improvement in price/performance over the incumbent technology paradigm. Such technologies fall into numerous subcategories. Some, for example, never actually make it into the mainstream market...they fail to cross the chasm...Another subset consists of process innovations that are confined to a specific vertical market. these do not change the offer to the customer but dramatically reengineer the way that offer is created or delivered. A third subset consists of technology-based products that create whole new value chains and markets to harness and commercialize this capability. Microprocessors, wireless telephony, inkjet printing, relational databases, and object-oriented programming are all disruptive technologies that have spawned new market sectors."

"Discontinuous Innovation. Companies leveraging this disipline compete by providing a completely new category of offering. Rather than fight incumbent competitors for market share within existing markets, they create new markets where there is no direct competition. Because this approach attacks the very foundation of the existing market, it is rarely championed by the current market leader. Charles Schwab took this approach when it founded the first discount brokerage, Apple when it created the first personal computer, and eBay when it invented Internet auctions. In every case dramatic innovations in underlying technology made possible the creation of a new category."

"The technology adoption life cycle models the response of any given population to the offer of a discontinuous innovation, one that forces the abandonment of traditional infrastructure and systems for the promise of a heretofore unavailable set of benefits."

And perhaps most importantly, this list:

"As I enter my third decade in the computer industry, I have been witness to at least a dozen major technology shifts that have created whole new industry categories, each with its own value chain and notable gorilla leaders. They include:

1. Mainframe computing: IBM (360/370), MAS Computer Associates

2. Minicomputers: Digital, Oracle, IBM (AS/400)

3. Personal computers: IBM (PC), Microsoft (DOS), Intel, Lotus

4. Desktop publishing: Apple (Macintosh), Aldus (Pagemaker), HP (laser printers)

5. Local area networks: Novell, 3Com (network interface cards)

6. Client-server computing: Microsoft (Windows 3.1), Oracle, SAP, HP (UNIX servers)

7. Wireless telephony: Ericsson, Motorola, Texas Instruments, Nokia

8. Home computing: Nintendo, Microsoft (Windows 95)

9. Campus area networks: Cisco, Bay Networks, Cabletron

10. Internet wide-area networks: Cisco, Sun, Compaq

11. Worldwide Web: Netscape, Yahoo!, AOL, Amazon, eBay, Microsoft (IE)

12. Intranet computing: Netscape (server), Microsoft (Windows NT)

13. Handheld devices: 3Com (PalmPilot), Microsoft (Windows CE)

And there are more to come, as companies like Oracle and IBM regear themselves to dominate a reemerging application service provider category (what we used to call service bureaus), Microsoft and Novell suit up to provide worldwide network directory services, and Cisco and Lucent prepare to battle for the rapidly converging market for voice/data/video networks....In each of these waves technology created shareholder value categorically. That is, the new technology performed at such a marked level of differentiation from existing offerings that it created a radically new GAP just by its presence in the offer. Andy Grove calls this the "10X" factor.... And that order of magnitude--technology that offers ten times the value of the status quo--shakes markets loose from their current value chains and transfers their allegiance to the evolution of a new one."

Living on the Fault Line, pp. 99, 132-3, 140-1, 100-1

tekboy/Ares@whew.com



To: DownSouth who wrote (25879)6/5/2000 6:48:00 PM
From: StockHawk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
RE: NAS - The July issue of Technology Investor has an article about data storage and NAS. A few highlights:

- US storage requirements double every 12-18 months (source: Piper Jaffray)

- More storage capacity was sold in 1999 than in all prior years combined (source: IDC)

- NAS will grow from $1.2 bil this year to $6.7 bil in 2003, nearly a 75% growth rate. (source: Dataquest)

- the cost of storage has decreased from $5.23 per megabyte in 1991 to $0.06 today. No other computing technology they know of has dropped more sharply.

- More than half of the general purpose SERVERS sold today only do file sharing (source: IDC), that's something a NAS appliance can do more quickly, more simply, and for less expense.

- the cost of one hour of downtime for a Fortune 500 company is $550,000 (source: Forrester Research). Reliability pays!

An interesting (non-gorilla) aspect of the article is that they split the NAS market into 2 segments: departmental level ($4000 avg. product price) and enterprise ($80,000 avg.). Of the dominant enterprise NAS companies, NTAP and EMC, they state that "their potential has long been discovered and their stock prices are stratospheric. They then go on to expound the virtues of the departmental level companies saying that this market is "newer and more open" and therefore has more potential.

We'll see.

StockHawk