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To: KyrosL who wrote (37913)6/5/2000 1:28:00 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
<it's possible that a soft landing will result, like in '94.>

I think it's possible as well........ but I also think a 'crash landing' is a possiblility. BTDIK

DAK



To: KyrosL who wrote (37913)6/5/2000 1:54:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 42523
 
KL, this seems to be the consensus...of course it is possible, but i would argue that there are material differences to '94, to name a few, private sector debt has exploded since then, a bubble in asset prices has formed, and the current account is producing negative record after record. in short, the imbalances now are far greater than in '94.

i agree btw. that oil prices and the budget surplus have done more to produce a bit of a slowdown than the not-at-all tight Fed policy.