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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (14259)	6/6/2000 7:19:00 AM
From: Justa Werkenstiff	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 15132

Bob Froelich, Crazy Man from Kemper and the Hannibal Lector (sp?) of this bull run, says this morning that the Fed. is done. Bulls will love this guy. He and Joey B. now have the mantra: The Fed. is done; long live the bull!!! Wish I was so sure. How can one be so sure if the Greenman doesn't know? Guynn is not so sure either. But, hey, Joey and Hannibal have their pitch all set and it is time to sell it to the masses.

To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (14259)	6/6/2000 2:24:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15132

Wait till the CPI numbers for May and June come out. The numbers for those months from last year are both 0.0 So even if the current numbers are 0.2 each, the bogey of inflation will rise again. This bull is just about exhausted now. If the economy grows, the threat of inflation increases and short-term interest rates will rise, which is bad for equities. If the economy slows down, earnings growth is reduced and that is bad for equities, especially at current valuations. Extreme caution is the right way to go.