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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (53179)	6/6/2000 9:23:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 99985

Joel, they reported a 6.4% spike in productivity for 1999 Q4. If an economy is so highly productive then the trend should continue and not falling 60% in the following quarter, after such a gain. IMHO all the productivity numbers are bogus and to adjust for misreporting they will be forced to report lower productivity numbers in the coming quarters. IMHO productivity runs around 1.5% to 2.25 % well below wage increases of around 5.5% to 6.5% a year (includes benefits and stock options). My point being that there is substantial inflation which is not reported. As to the market ....... those stocks do not reflect any productivity gains....... IP, CUM, CAT, S, X, MMM, DD, DER and other cyclical stocks? their products are work intensive ..... they are the major companies who should actually benefiting from productivity gains ....... but it seems no cigar there. Haim