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Strategies & Market Trends : Cents and Sensibility - Kimberly and Friends' Consortium -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: $Mogul who wrote (107771)6/6/2000 5:53:00 PM
From: Bouf  Respond to of 108040
 
Weird day...actually made some money!!! :)

CAWC...looking to take off..nice...can't wait

Even my penny EXPLODED..PLRP...going to big BIG someday...up 24% today...and Friday is not even here yet...

COOL and PSI..the game begins....getting noticed...especially PSI...( a REAL STEAL IMO)



To: $Mogul who wrote (107771)6/6/2000 8:36:00 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 108040
 
How Sycamore Aims to Stay Hot
By Alec Appelbaum

LOOKS LIKE Sycamore Networks (SCMR) intends to remain
a hot stock for some time.

Less than eight months after it went public, the maker of
software and hardware for light-speed ("optical" in
techno-speak) telecom networks Tuesday announced the
acquisition of privately held Sirocco Systems, which makes
software for optical connections within metropolitan areas. By
purchasing Sirocco for $2.9 billion in stock, Sycamore makes
its biggest deal to date and obtains a company that will help it
compete against Cisco's (CSCO) optical division and Lucent's
(LU) future optical offerings. At the same time, the purchase
makes Sycamore a much more expensive potential acquisition
for anybody else.

The optical-networking equipment sector enthralls investors
these days because it is an area characterized by intense
demand and low supply. Every phone company ? from
Deutsche Telekom (DT) to your neighborhood cut-price
competitor (think Electric Lightwave (ELIX)) ? wants to make
its lines carry more information smoother and faster. Optical networking helps them do
that by carrying
information in the form of lightwaves instead of electronic signals. But because
optical-networking
equipment is complex to manufacture, only a few companies make it. That explains why
the stocks of the
few companies making the products have performed so well.

Sirocco, of suburban New Haven, Conn., makes hardware for connecting offices to
high-speed gear like
Sycamore's, which helps route data in the middle of the network. Its top engineers know
Sycamore's
chiefs from stints at now-bygone companies, according to Brean Murray analyst Gina
Socklow.
Sycamore CEO Dan Smith, talking to reporters Tuesday morning, said his team had been
eyeing Sirocco
for months. "It's a very large market opportunity, and we felt we could maybe be one of
the leaders," he
said. With joint Sirocco-Sycamore products due for testing this summer and release this
year, Sycamore
could sell gear for use throughout a metropolitan area's local network. That breadth could
make it a more
attractive supplier to phone companies, which are generally in a hurry to update their
networks.

On that logic, Sycamore is on the prowl for more acquisitions. Smith said Tuesday he
was looking at
outfits that make complementary products, as Sirocco does, or ones that tailor their
offerings to cable
and wireless networks rather than long-distance fiber ones. Like Redback Networks
(RBAK), another
networking-equipment phenom that audaciously bought a private company for billions last
November,
Sycamore is trying to accelerate its revenue growth by dealing more goods to its hungry
customers.

Like other optical-equipment makers, Sycamore has an acquisition currency in its
relatively undamaged
stock. In the throes of April's Nasdaq decline, it sank 50% for the year. But in late May,
it announced a
profitable first quarter, and it made up the year's entire loss last week. The company's
better-than-expected financial performance helped the stock, but it doesn't hurt that
investors remain
interested in optical plays in general. Juniper Networks (JNPR), which makes big pieces
of equipment
for Internet traffic, has never seen its stock fall into negative territory for the year. ONI
Systems (ONIS),
which makes software for local optical networking, gained 185% on its first trading day
last week.

When Sycamore first went public, some analysts mused that it could become takeover
fodder for Lucent
or Cisco or Nortel Networks (NT), the three biggest equipment players. That scenario
now looks unlikely
? or at least expensive. "We have the financial resources of Lucent and Nortel, and
stronger balance
sheets in some respects than either, and now we're adding intellectual horsepower,"
Smith said Tuesday.
There's more than a little bluster in that statement ? Sycamore's outstanding market
value is barely a
tenth the size of Lucent's. But the company could make a more convincing long-term
competitor with
Sirocco nailed down.

Brean Murray's Socklow points out that much depends on how Sirocco and Sycamore
products fuse.
"Until these products can be evaluated against the expected onslaught of new
competitors' optical
switches," Socklow wrote to clients Tuesday morning, she rates Sycamore a Hold. Every
other analyst
on the Street (most of whose employers helped underwrite Sycamore's IPO) rates the
stock at least a
Buy. Credit Suisse First Boston reiterated that rating Tuesday. But Socklow says it's
trading at too high a
premium to be a wise investment.

If Sycamore keeps its buying up, bigger networking companies will probably think the
same thing.



To: $Mogul who wrote (107771)6/6/2000 9:06:00 PM
From: Frederick Langford  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
Mogul,

C,mon, the funds just began to nibble last Friday. Are you saying they already sold and went short???
Don't you wonder what your fees would be if the Funds acted like daytraders? A hell of a lot higher than they are. That's for sure.
I'm sure a few hedge funds and some contrarian funds, or perhaps the rare over aggressive fund manager, but hardly, The funds.

Short term we are over bought in some volatile areas. Others look OK.
I think ENE looks good. Lot's look good in the energy sector
Semi's could present a welcome buying opp.

Numbers Friday might be just fine, we might even rally before the numbers.

No one really knows.

Fred



To: $Mogul who wrote (107771)6/6/2000 9:27:00 PM
From: johnsto1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 108040
 
I better sell everything then. Thanks for the insight.



To: $Mogul who wrote (107771)6/6/2000 11:45:00 PM
From: Mike Delaney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
check out the volume in QQQ last 5 minutes.. big selling