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Technology Stocks : The *NEW* Frank Coluccio Technology Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (69)6/7/2000 2:59:00 PM
From: lml  Respond to of 46821
 
Hi Frank:

Re: cable platform upgrades

The problem with this approach is that it calls for multiple, time-consuming and opportunity-depriving, upgrades over time, which tends to aggregate costs in a way that could best be described as Gestalt in reverse.

LOL, a somewhat dry sense of humor.

what they will do, instead, is play chicken with each other. By this I mean they will each look at the other's performance and do a kind of arbitrage on how bad they can remain without suffering any consequences (such as subscriber churn).

. . . which is why in my earlier post, it was my conclusion that is important for the community to take some level control in the planning & installation of infrastructure, much in the way exhibited in that report commissioned by the City of Cary, NC. See Message 13748331

Instead of the MSOs working their way through another four or five upgrades until they realize that they've reached the theoretical limits of coax and RF schemes over same, I think that some of them should be considering a more optimal base technology now, and simply bite the bullet. In the end they will have saved money, but more importantly, they would have enabled a host of far more dynamic applications than they are willing to permit (or could support) at this time, and create additional revenue generating opportunities.

Yes, only if this were in-fact their approach. But in their defense, how long would it take to design and install such a network, and how much pressure capital will it consume? What comes to mind is that these MSOs historically, have not been the most profitable of operations. IMHO, this implies (1) they don't have much cash flow to leverage for capital projects; and (2) they don't have a history of attracting the best managerial talent that have the foresight to make the most prudent business/technological decision when it comes to improving upon or replacing, installed infrastructure.

HDTV over regular RF-based cable is a thorn, for the bandwidth that it consumes and the ad displacement factor which it creates when multiple less demanding commercial channels cannot be aired in its place.

So, do you think that advent of HDTV, or more on-point, the disappearance of analog transmission is going to be "big bang" that is going to cause the surviving MSOs to take the plunge that you are suggesting, or are you, just as I often do, merely expressing precatory thoughts.