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To: Voltaire who wrote (21828)6/7/2000 9:14:00 PM
From: abuelita  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
Well, Mr. V.

I have to compliment you on your action today.

Time spent on line to the clown killers - $300.00 (hourly rate)

Lost revenue - I dunno, say $500

Going in there on your own, no back up ('cept of course
we were all standing by ready to jump in) - priceless.

yer fan,
rosie



To: Voltaire who wrote (21828)6/7/2000 10:02:00 PM
From: Jill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
Porchies,

I'm in study mode for trading. Here are some nice tidbits about psychology from tonight's reading:

Mass psychology is far more important than economic analysis. The herd will be right for most of the trend. They will be wrong at the turning point. We trade in one direction until the market tells us that the prior trend is no longer in force.

Decision theorists have performed experiments in which people are given various choices between sure things (amounts of money) and simple lotteries in order to see if the subjects' preferences are rationally ordered. They find that people will generally choose a sure gain over a lottery with a higher expected gain but that they will shun a sure loss in favor of an even worse lottery (as long as the lottery gives them a chance of coming out ahead). These evidently instinctive human tendencies spell doom for the trader - take your profits, but play with your losses.

This attitude is also culturally reinforced, as exemplified by the advice: Seize opportunities, but hold your ground in adversity. Better advice to the trader would be: Watch idly while profit-taking opportunities arise, but in adversity run like a jackrabbit.

One common adage on this subject that is completely wrongheaded is: You can't go broke taking profits. That's precisely how many traders do go broke. While amateurs go broke by taking large losses, professionals go broke by taking small profits

People want to buy cheap and sell dear; this by itself makes them countertrend. But the notion of cheapness or dearness must be anchored to something. People tend to view the prices they're used to as normal and prices removed from these levels as aberrant. This perspective leads people to trade counter to an emerging trend on the assumptions that prices will eventually return to "normal". Therein lies the path to disaster.


Note: For example, I previously had traded NTAP Sept 100s, having picked them up for 2 and sold them around 8. So it's hard for me to buy Sept 100s for 7 now. To get around that I switched to July 80s. I had to pick a "new" strike on NTAP to overcome my aversion to the changed situation/price.

Jill



To: Voltaire who wrote (21828)6/7/2000 10:12:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
Eight Chinese Companies to Develop CDMA

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 07, 2000 9:53 PM
- Xinhua News Agency

BEIJING (June 8) XINHUA - Eight Leading Chinese mobile communications
equipment producers signed research and development agreements with the American
Qualcomm Corp. on intellectual property rights of CDMA (Code Division Multi
Address) to improve the localization of the technology. According to today's China
Daily, the eight companies include Beijing-based Datang Telecom and Capital,
Shenzhen-based Huawei Technology and Zhongxing Telecom, Hangzhou-based
Eastcom, Jinan- based HiSense Group and Langchao group, Shanghai Lawton
Technology Group.

As licensees of Qualcomm, the Chinese companies are expected to develop CDMA
handsets and base station prototypes based on the IS- 95 A/B and 3G (third generation)
1X Multi-carrier standards.

The agreement also provides option to secure commercial licenses of such products at
any time during the term of the research and development agreement, the paper said.

China Unicom, the second biggest domestic mobile communication operator, had
planned to provide CDMA services this summer after the State Council authorized it last
year to solely construct and operate a CDMA network in the country.

Qualcomm is said to be the biggest winner from the deal, which has long been interested
in entering China, the Daily said.