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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (2089)6/8/2000 8:25:00 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 

The ECB 50 basis point rate Hike is a potential negative for
the USD and the stockmarket. The ECB has also moved to
Variable-rate Tender system which they use to manage liquidity.

This may be an important development over the course of
time.

----Starting from the operation to be settled on 28 June 2000, the main refinancing operations of the Eurosystem will be conducted as variable rate tenders, applying the multiple rate auction procedure. The Governing Council has decided to set a minimum bid rate for these operations equal to 4.25%. This is the same rate as that which will prevail for the two fixed rate tenders to be implemented following today's decision. ---

-----------------------------
ECB Raises Rates by a Half Point
To Head Off Inflationary Pressure
A WSJ.COM News Roundup

June 8, 2000
FRANKFURT -- The European Central Bank raised short-term interest rates Thursday by a greater-than-expected half-percentage point, while the bank's president said the move wasn't tied to the struggling euro.

The ECB raised its main refinancing rate, the amount charged on loans to banks, to 4.25% from 3.75%. Most economists expected the ECB to increase rates by just a quarter point in order to bring euro-zone rates in line with U.S. rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve in May raised key lending rates by a half point to 6.5%.


Growth Not an Issue
John Bussey, foreign editor of The Wall Street Journal, comments on the European Central Bank's interest-rate decision.



ECB President Wim Duisenberg said the bank raised its rates by a half point to address increasing risks of inflation -- and not to boost the euro. Despite the ailing common currency, Thursday's move "is in no way a reaction to the exchange rate developments," he said.

"The rate hike addresses the upside risk to price stability and will continue" to do so, Mr. Duisenberg said.

The euro jumped to 96.53 cents immediately following the announcement, its highest level since mid-April, before dropping back somewhat. Meanwhile, European shares tumbled from early morning highs on Thursday following the rate decision.

Possible Shift in Policy

While not directly signaling a shift in the ECB's monetary policy bias, Mr. Duisenberg indicated Thursday's increase may be enough for a while. "One of the motions for a half-point move was that such a move would clear the horizon for some time to come."

European Central Bank
www.ecb.int

Euro-Zone Money Supply Grew 6.5% in April, Suggesting Possible Rate Rise (May 30)


The ECB also raised its marginal lending rate to 5.25% from 4.75%, and the deposit rate to 3.25% from 2.75%, both effective June 9. The overnight rate is the interest paid by the ECB when local banks deposit excess money. The marginal lending rates is the interest paid by banks to the ECB when they need quick emergency loans.

Thursday's move was the fourth monetary tightening this year by the ECB, which manages monetary policy in the 11 countries using the European common currency. The ECB's began tightening monetary policy in November, raising rates by a total of 1.75 percentage points since then.

The plight of the tumbling euro had been featured prominently at previous regular meetings of the ECB's governing board. But the urgency surrounding its decline diminished as the currency bounced back from an all-time low of 88.45 cents against the U.S. dollar.

Variable-Rate System

The central bank also announced a switch to a variable-rate system in its main refinancing operations -- meaning banks will have to name a rate they are willing to pay for loans, starting at 4.25%. The central bank said the switch is effective June 28. The 4.25% minimum bid rate also will apply to the next two refinancing operations on June 15 and June 21.

ECB Vice President Christian Noyer explained the shift to a variable-rate tender wasn't a move by the central bank to mimic the U.S. Federal Reserve system. This system "is closer to the one we wanted to have from the beginning," he said.

The central bank in a release added that "the new tender mechanism is a response to the severe overbidding which has developed in the context of the current fixed-rate tender procedure." The bank said it wouldn't rule a switch back to fixed-rate tenders in the future.

The ECB has been under pressure to curtail overbidding for fixed-rate loan amounts at its refinancings, which are the central bank's most important instrument in managing liquidity in the market and steering rates in line with its monetary policy stance.

Variable-rate short-term refinancings could give the ECB greater leeway in steering market rates as it decides the rate for its two-week lending facility from a pool of rates bid by banks. But the switch also will make the central bank vulnerable to market forces that might race ahead and bring market rates far above levels seen desirable by the ECB, thus boosting volatility.



To: John Pitera who wrote (2089)6/12/2000 9:54:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Respond to of 33421
 
John,

Very pleased the earths new system of communications were not disturbed by this huge flare.

Looks like we dodged this one...!

Chip