To: Gus who wrote (5437 ) 6/12/2000 1:00:00 AM From: Maurice Winn Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34857
<So after all the religious wars, at the dawn of a new century, a CDMAOne network remains 2-3x more expensive than a GSM/TDMA network with dubious voice capacity and quality advantages. > Gus, CDMA minutes by the 1000 in the USA are 10c to anywhere in the country. Leap Wireless International is selling unlimited minutes via 'Comfortable Wireless' for $30 a month. Of course people don't use unlimited minutes each month - they actually use about 1000 or 1500 on average [of course you can imagine that some younger people would use 200 a day x 30 days 6000 minutes a month. Let's use the 1,000 a month so it's easier to divide, that works out to 3c a minute with no monthly fees on top. Now Gus, the determinant of whether something is more expensive or not is the price which is paid by the customer. If the CDMA box at the basestation is 100x as expensive as a GSM box, it doesn't matter if it can handle a billion more bits. To say CDMA is 2x as expensive as GSM is silly. Stick with me here Gus. 3G of all flavours, modes, bands, standards etc are going to be CDMA. There is a reason for that and it is because billions of bits move cheaper and faster and better in CDMA. CDMA is cheaper than GSM and getting cheaper still, all the while with improving functionality. That's why the world is going to go 3G and use CDMA to do it. Quoting old and wrong articles from WSJ won't change that. You shouldn't use WSJ or Business Week as investment guides other than to show where to do some real research. For example, they mention CDMA, so yes, investigate it from reputable sources. But don't take it as true that Irwin Jacobs single-handedly "put the U.S. far behind in the global wireless-communications business, which analysts expect to be a $100 billion market within five years". I'd have thought the WSJ now would be embarrassed at such a silly article and that they naively quoted people who obviously didn't have a clue. Nokia is going to go CDMA. It is NOT expensive. It is the cheapest and best air interface available. That's why Nokia is choosing it. They will sign up to Q! technology sooner rather than later. The price is going up and has been for a long time. It's now at least 5% by the look of it and heading for more. It's going up because the cdmaOne networks have proven the merits of CDMA. 3G CDMA will be even better. The more time goes on the better it gets. GSM has done it's run. Now it's a battle with GPRS and on the bleeding EDGE. Oops, GPRS is delayed... I heard you are an investor in Interdigital - surely somebody as intelligent as you obviously are isn't invested there? But it does make sense because you seem to be determined that Q! CDMA is not attractive to Nokia. Otherwise I can't understand the glaring gaps in your logic. Is it true? Maurice