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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wally Mastroly who wrote (14415)6/13/2000 3:51:00 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15132
 
Wally: Re: "For the foreseeable future, then, expect the board of governors to publicly express concern while they quietly choose to ease off the monetary tiller. Remember, the Federal Reserve seldom waives a flag signaling the end of a period of credit tightening, they simply demonstrate this through the policy choices they make."

He is right. There is a good chance of a do-nothing Fed. come the end of this month and this could give the markets a boost. Fed. is in a tough spot. Probably wants to lay off but, at the same time, does not want to get a facial from rallying equity markets.

Oil and gasoline are the wild card. Higher oil and gasoline prices seem like a recipe for stagflation if they stick.



To: Wally Mastroly who wrote (14415)6/14/2000 8:33:00 AM
From: Wally Mastroly  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15132
 
1st headline(s) -MAY CPI UP 0.1% VS. 0.2% EXPECTED -detail link at bottom:

08:33 CPI UP 3.1% IN PAST 12 MONTHS; CORE CPI UP 2.4% IN PAST YEAR

08:33 MAY ENERGY PRICES FALL 1.9%

08:33 MAY FOOD PRICES RISE 0.5%, MOST IN 19 MONTHS

08:33 CPI SHOWS MODERATE INFLATION, GIVING FED CHANCE TO WAIT AND SEE (...latest FED futures indicating about a two thirds probability of no rate hike on 6/28..)

Also
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08:41 APRIL BUSINESS INVENTORIES RISE 0.4% SALES FALL 0.6%

www2.marketwatch.com

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An observation from cnn.fn:

...But the consumer price index, the government's main inflation gauge, is up 3.6 percent so far this year, well above the 2.7 percent increase for all of 1999....

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A link to some details:

bloomberg.com