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To: Tomas who wrote (68262)6/15/2000 10:06:00 AM
From: Tomas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
So long as the U.S. extends a strong security commitment to the Saudis, the Kuwaitis and the (feuding) United Arab Emirates, there should be balance in the Persian Gulf.

But people in Washington are already questioning the benefits of this commitment, which costs more than US$40-billion annually and props up some mildly unpleasant regimes to boot.
When the cost of defending the Saudis exceeds the value of their oil exports to the U.S., these questions will grow louder.
If the U.S. pulls out, Iraq (perhaps in combination with Iran) might be tempted to corner the oil market by invading Kuwait (again) and Saudi Arabia.

If that happens, US$32 a barrel will seem laughably cheap.

From National Post, June 15