To: DMaA who wrote (20799 ) 6/16/2000 7:41:00 AM From: Zoltan! Respond to of 769667
10-Point Lead Over Gore Overall, the survey found Bush maintaining a commanding 10-percentage-point lead over presumptive Democratic nominee Al Gore in the presidential race. That's up a statistically insignificant 2 points since a Times survey in May. As Gore embarks on a three-week "progress and prosperity" tour meant to highlight the nation's economic gains since he and Clinton took office, the poll finds the vice president continues to be burdened by a slow clouding of the nation's sunny mood. In the survey, the percentage of Americans saying they are satisfied with the country's direction, and Clinton's performance in office, continued to sag--the latter to its lowest level in almost four years... Gore Trailing Big Among Independents If the highly polarized patterns of the last several elections hold, Gore is likely to reduce that level of Democratic defection by election day. But even if he does, the vice president still faces a significant challenge with independent voters, who prefer Bush in the new survey by a solid 53% to 32%. Bush is strong not only among independents who consider themselves conservatives (where he leads by 55 points), but also among moderate independents (who break evenly between him and Gore). In most respects, the survey finds the country dividing between the candidates along familiar demographic and social lines. The key is that Bush is generally doing better among the traditionally Republican-leaning groups than Gore is with the groups that usually support Democrats. For instance, Gore runs even among voters earning $40,000 a year or less. But Bush leads by 15 points among those earning more. Likewise, Gore is more competitive among women than men--but now trails among both groups. Though women preferred Clinton by 16 percentage points in 1996, the Times survey now shows Bush leading among female voters by 46% to 43%. What makes those numbers especially daunting for Gore is they come even as Bush is reestablishing the advantages among men that his party enjoyed in the quarter-century before Clinton. In the new poll, Bush leads among all men by 16 percentage points; white men prefer the Texas governor by a daunting 22 points. The same pattern holds along another familiar electoral dividing line--marital status. Married voters, who tend to be more economically secure and socially conservative, give Bush a 19-point lead; Gore leads by only nine points among singles, historically a more Democratic group...latimes.com