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Strategies & Market Trends : Buffettology -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jhg_in_kc who wrote (2529)6/15/2000 11:58:00 PM
From: James Clarke  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 4690
 
jhg - welcome back, we missed ya. Seems like we haven't heard from you since tech stocks peaked. Buffett must sure be kicking himself for missing Rambus and Qualcom at twice where they currently trade. (I'm sure he does some shorting.)

PWER at 73x earnings, 10 times book value...uh, no. When I look for what you called "unglamorous, unhyped stocks", I am generally a bit skeptical about those that are up 800% in the last twelve months. I'm sure this one is special. But my humble opinion is that you've got at least 75% downside risk here.

But that doesn't mean I have my head in the sand. Caterpillar and Emerson Electric, both Buffett-type stocks which I own, have leading products driven by the same dynamics (Exodus and its competitors' suidical buildout of internet hosting), and they trade at a very different valuation than PWER and the other hyped "internet infrastructure" stocks.

If I had any guts, or any sense that history repeats itself - or just a sense of humor - I would wait for PWER to go up another 10 points and then short the crap out of it. I'm considering it seriously. Thanks for the tip.



To: jhg_in_kc who wrote (2529)6/16/2000 8:59:00 AM
From: Grommit  Respond to of 4690
 
Power supply -- I've always liked, and have recently owned, APCC. APCC seems to be a more reasonably priced power supply investment. Insiders are selling both companies however, so why buy either with so many other opportunities around?

quote.yahoo.com

Excuse the 'hype' on my part, but try this:
Not a buffet company, but reasonable insider action here...
biz.yahoo.com
biz.yahoo.com
And it seems to be recovering from the excessive sell off.