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To: Ahda who wrote (54552)6/17/2000 12:14:00 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116818
 
IMHO most of the "Real Commodities" will be just barely OK(this is the reason I've said little on the subject). Corn will meet needs - though not exceed them. Wheat should just squeak by - If we get open area fires, & hail it could be a 3-7% increase + added the energy costs - 15%maybe. I've picked up lots of cross-talk about soybean worries, but they seem to be very localized. Cotton - possible 5-15% higher - but we have imports. Oats looking a bit light.

Milk - lower prices, expect the only pricing pressure to come from energy costs - these may be cut by producers working more with rail transport - this is NEW. Hay costs will be a KILLER - the crops I've seen & heard about are VERY POOR - weedy - low protein. It will take more hay per animal as feed - higher Beef prices!

The real KILLER will not be listed as a "price increase" by our government and may not show up as inflation, these are fruit & fresh row crops! 75-250% increases!

Winter may suck if weather trends continue for the OJ(and other citrus) crop!