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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert321 who wrote (14659)6/22/2000 1:37:00 PM
From: Rillinois  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15132
 
Robert321,

B-I-N-G-O

Best Regards.

Rillinois



To: Robert321 who wrote (14659)6/22/2000 1:52:00 PM
From: Math Junkie  Respond to of 15132
 
I guess the question boils down to this:

"Is the Brinker cup half-full, or half empty?"



To: Robert321 who wrote (14659)6/22/2000 1:55:00 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Respond to of 15132
 
Robert: "Brinker does give good advice. I think the reason there are many that need to point out Bob's weaknesses, is because Bob doesn't."

Disagree. There is more to it than meets the eye.

Re: " For example, to his radio audience, which as you noted contains many newbies, he brags endlessly how he is number One in market timing by Hubert since 1990."

Disagree.

Re: " In this way, I imagine he hopes to sell more newsletters on the basis that his market timing call is correct this year."

Strongly disagree.

Re: "However, he refuses to EVER say that his market timing prowess did not beat the Wilshire 5000 since he began his model portfolio."

I don't know about the ten year. Here is a post to show recent performance.

Message 13864632



To: Robert321 who wrote (14659)6/22/2000 2:10:00 PM
From: Math Junkie  Respond to of 15132
 
I haven't checked, but if, as you say, "his market timing prowess did not beat the Wilshire 5000 since he began his model portfolio", then that is certainly worth knowing. However, it is important to note that the period in question does not include a bear market, so it is an incomplete picture.

In order to do a valid assessment of a market strategy which seeks to protect against the risk of bear markets, it seems obvious that we need to do it over a time period which includes some bear markets. So far, all we have had is one almost-bear market (in 1998), and one stagnation period which may or may not turn into a bear market (now).