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To: Voltaire who wrote (23318)6/23/2000 8:57:00 AM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
MARKET SNAPSHOT--Market looks for direction

By Julie Rannazzisi, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 8:38 AM ET Jun 23, 2000 NewsWatch
Latest headlines

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) - U.S. shares are set for and open on the mixed side Friday with little in the way of news to sway prices in either direction.

September S&P 500 futures rose 0.70 point and were trading roughly 4.70 points above fair value, according to HL Camp & Co. Nasdaq futures, meanwhile, added 13.00 points, or 0.3 percent.

Separately, Trim Tabs said all equity funds had inflows of $6.5 billion over the week ended June 21 compared with inflows of $12.3 billion during the prior week. Equity funds that invest primarily in U.S. stocks had inflows of $6.6 billion, compared with inflows of $10.8 billion during the previous week.

In shares seeing activity before the official start of trading, Rambus shares were on a roll, soaring 35 7/8 higher to 133 in Instinet. The stock is up a staggering 120.4 percent for the month. See Indications. The company has settled a patent infringement dispute with Japan?s Hitachi. Hitachi has agreed to pay Rambus (RMBS: news, msgs) a settlement fee as well as quarterly royalty payments. Read the story.

Micron Technology (MU: news, msgs) lost 4 5/8 to 86 1/8. The company reported fiscal third-quarter earnings after the close Thursday, posting earnings-per-share of 47 cents a share compared to the First Call estimate of 34 cents a share. In the year-ago third quarter, the company reported a net loss of 5 cents per share. See full story.

Shares of Human Genome Sciences (HGSI: news, msgs) jumped 12 to 145 in Instinet after the company announced Friday it would begin human clinical trials of a protein that may help patients with immune system problems. See full story. The stock ended off 12 percent to 133 on Thursday, mirroring a sharp decline in biotech stocks.

Shares of Millennium Pharmaceutical (MLNM: news, msgs) may get a lift Friday. The company announced a joint venture with Aventis (AVE: news, msgs) for the development and commercialization of drugs for the treatment of inflammatory diseases and new drug discovery technologies. Further, Millennium will provide Aventis with rights to its drug discovery technologies in exchange for payments of up to $200 million over a five-year period while Aventis will invest $250 million in Millennium's common stock. The stock tumbled 14 percent, or 19 11/16 to 124 1/2 on Thursday.

In the bond market, prices traded on a mixed note with no economic news to focus on. The 10-year Treasury note lost 1/8 to yield 6.12 percent while the 30-year bond added 1/32 to yield 5.97 percent.

There is no economic data set for release on Friday. Next week?s calendar will also be light, with the main releases in the form of consumer confidence, personal income and spending numbers and new home sales. View Economic Preview, economic calendar and forecasts and historical economic data.

In the currency market, dollar/yen lost 0.3 percent from the previous session to 104.17 while euro/dollar added 0.4 percent to 0.9392. See latest currency rates.

Thursday?s trading activity

Virtually all market sectors succumbed to heavy selling pressure Thursday, particularly those that enjoyed the heaviest buying interest earlier in the week. Investors displayed nervousness ahead of next week?s Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the profit-taking interrupted the Nasdaq?s five-day winning streak.

?The market is focusing on what the Fed is going to do. Oil prices are going up and there?s nervousness,? said Peter Cardillo, chief strategist at Westfalia Investments.

?The retail sector is going to get hit along with the heavy cyclicals because we don?t know how much the economy will slow,? Cardillo said.

A fall in biotech and chip stocks put a drag on the Nasdaq right from the start of trading. The broader market saw the biggest declines in the drug, oil service, brokerage and retail sectors while bank stocks edged higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 121.62 points, or 1.2 percent, to 10,376.12.




?The cyclicals are holding the Dow down but stocks that had been lagging in April and May are now doing better,? said Donald Selkin, chief market strategist at Joseph Gunnar.

?If we head into next week?s Fed meeting in weakened conditions, we could get a nice relief rally,? Selkin said.

Moreover, market participants are banking on quarter-end window dressing to bolster the best-performing stocks next week.

On the downside were shares of Honeywell, Philip Morris, General Motors, Intel and IBM. Upside movers included Coca-Cola, AT&T and SBC Communications.

Microsoft (MSFT: news, msgs) edged down 13/16 to 79 7/8. On Wednesday, the company saw a nearly 8 percent run-up to levels not seen since mid-April. The software giant announced at its Forum 2000 conference a Web-oriented strategy that will shift its focus to the online accessing of software through personal computers as well as devices other than PCs. Read the story.

Shares of AT&T (T: news, msgs) put on 1 to 36. A federal appeals court overturned an earlier decision by a federal judge and ruled that the city of Portland, Ore. can?t force cable operators to open their networks to rival Internet service providers, a big victory for Ma Bell. See full story.

The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 127.11 points, or 3.1 percent, to 3,936.90 while the Nasdaq 100 index lost 165.89 points, or 4.2 percent, to 3,804.11. The Nasdaq fell below 4,000 after closing above the level for three straight sessions.

?It?s not surprising to see some consolidation Thursday -- it doesn?t change the overall picture. While recent rallies have come with less-than-stellar market breadth, the action has been positive,? opined Todd Gold, technical strategist at Gruntal & Co.

But market observers don?t expect to see any fireworks heading into next week?s interest-rate setting meeting.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index trimmed 1.8 percent while the Russell 2000 Index of small-capitalization stocks fell 2.4 percent.

Volume came in at 1.01 billion on the NYSE and at 1.61 billion on the Nasdaq Stock Market. Breadth was decidedly negative, with losers beating winners by 19 to 10 on the NYSE and by 24 to 15 on the Nasdaq.

Separately, rumors swirled throughout the market late in the morning that Fed Chair Alan Greenspan had been in a car accident. The Fed was quick to squash the rumor and said ?Greenspan is fine.?

Sector movers

Texas Instruments (TXN: news, msgs) lost 2 1/4 to 79 3/4. The company said after the close of trading Wednesday that it will acquire Burr-Brown Corp.(BBRC: news, msgs) in a stock-for-stock transaction valued at about $7.6 billion. Read the story. TI said the acquisition strengthens its position in the data converter and amplifier segments of the analog semiconductor market. Burr-Brown shares skyrocketed 37.7 percent, or 27 3/8 to 100.

Chip stocks came under some profit taking, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ($SOX: news, msgs) down 4.6 percent. Intel (INTC: news, msgs) shed 4 15/16 to 134 1/16. Bucking the trend were shares of Rambus (RMBS: news, msgs), up 4.9 percent, or 4 1/2 to 97 1/8.

Among the big-cap tech stocks, Cisco Systems (CSCO: news, msgs) fell 4.3 percent, or 2 7/8 to 64 9/16, Oracle (ORCL: news, msgs) fell 5.4 percent, or 4 11/16 to 81 1/2 and Sun Microsystems (SUNW: news, msgs) fell 4.0 percent, or 3 7/8 to 92 1/16.

Shares of Nokia (NOK: news, msgs) declined 5 to 56. Rumors are circulating that the company is interested in purchasing Qualcomm (QCOM: news, msgs), which climbed 5.8 percent, or 3 3/4 to 68 1/4.

Financial stocks were mixed, with bank stocks showing some signs of improvement while brokerage stocks lost ground.

The Standard & Poor's Bank Index ($BIX: news, msgs) added 1.5 percent while the Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD: news, msgs) lost 1.6 percent.

In earnings news, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (MWD: news, msgs) checked in with second-quarter earnings of $1.26, beating the First Call estimate of $1.13 a share. The company made 97 cents a share in the year-ago period. The stock fell 2 7/16 to 83 3/16. Read the story.

Meanwhile, shares of PaineWebber (PWJ: news, msgs) dropped 1.8 percent, or 7/8 to 48 5/8. Merrill Lynch lowered its 2000 estimates on the firm to $3.90 from $4.35 and 2001 estimates to $4.45 from $4.85. Merrill said it now sees second-quarter results at 86 cents a share. First Call predicts earnings of $1.04 a share.

The biotech sector took a breather following a five-day run-up. The Amex Biotech Index ($BTK: news, msgs) plunged 7.7 percent after gaining 19 percent over the past five trading sessions while Merrill Lynch?s Biotech Holdrs (BBH: news, msgs) lost 5.1 percent. Among the downside movers were Millennium Pharmaceutical (MLNM: news, msgs), off 19 11/16 to 124 1/2, while Biogen (BGEN: news, msgs) lost 6 5/16 to 66 7/16 and Affymetrix (AFFX: news, msgs) dropped 20 7/8 to 173 5/8.

Oil service shares dropped, with the Philadelphia Oil Service Index ($OSX: news, msgs) off 2.6 percent. Crude oil prices continued to creep higher after Wednesday?s OPEC meeting, during which members agreed to a 708,000-barrel-per-day increase. Participants don?t believe the increase will be enough to ease supply pressures and drive prices lower. August crude added 82 cents to $32.19 while the Bridge CRB index climbed 2.04 to 227.08.

Retail stocks dropped, with the S&P Retail Index ($RLX: news, msgs) down 1.1 percent.

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY: news, msgs), which is part of the index, reported after the close Wednesday a first-quarter profit of 16 cents a share, a penny ahead of the First Call estimate. The company earned 12 cents in the year-ago period. The stock lost 2 7/8 to 32 13/16.

See After Hours for post-market trading activity.

Individual movers

Emmis Communications (EMMS: news, msgs) posted first-quarter earnings of 8 cents a share, beating the First Call estimate by 2 cents a share. The company earned a penny a share in the year-ago quarter. The stock added 3 11/16 to 48. Read the story.

Family Dollar (FDO: news, msgs) posted a third-quarter profit from operations of 29 cents per share, in line with the First Call estimate.

The company made 24 cents in the year-ago period. Shares lost 2 3/8 to 17 1/4.

Shares of WorldCom (WCOM: news, msgs) lost 1 5/16 to 39 after shedding 1 3/8 on Wednesday on news that the European Union is reportedly set to block WorldCom?s proposed $129 billion acquisition of Sprint on concerns that the deal would concentrate too much of the Internet within the company?s own network. See full story. Shares of Sprint (FON: news, msgs) added 5/8 to 59 5/8.

Treasury focus

In the bond market, prices fell across the board in a session dominated by extremely choppy trading.

The market received only a short-lived positive effect from Treasury?s $2 billion buyback of long-term issues.

Treasury received offers totaling $7.3 billion for the $2 billion it bought back. The issues involved were maturing between Feb. 1985 and August 1989.

Meanwhile, The Bond Market Association released its outlook for the U.S. economy in the second-half of the year. The Association sees 2000 gross domestic product growth at 4.2 percent and expects GDP to fall to 3.4 percent in 2001.

The Bond Group sees the unemployment rate steady at 4 percent this year and at 4.1 percent in 2001. The Association believes the Fed will stand pat on rates next week but sees interest rates climbing another 50 basis points by year-end. The industry group also said that inflation still remains the biggest risk to the U.S. economy. See full story.

The 10-year Treasury note declined 1/32 to yield 6.12 percent while the 30-year bond lost 3/32 to yield 5.97 percent following a nearly one-point decline on Wednesday. See Bond Report.

Thursday?s sole economic release came in the form of initial claims, which rose 5,000 to 302,000 in the latest week. View Economic Preview, economic calendar and forecasts and historical economic data.

In the currency market, dollar/yen traded lower, falling 1.0 percent to 104.48 while euro/dollar lost 0.9 percent to 0.9360. See latest currency rates.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Julie Rannazzisi is markets editor for CBS.MarketWatch.com.





To: Voltaire who wrote (23318)6/23/2000 10:08:00 AM
From: DepyDog  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
Tom, or anyone, I got a problem. I bought MNNSY(Mannesman)that was bought out by Vod (Vodafone)and the deal was consumated March 27th this year. A friend of mine also had it in an Ameritrade acct and in March MNNSY converted to VOD in her account. My brokerage firm (NBC Securities)just NOW converted my MMNSY shares "BUT" they converted them to the type of vod shares on the LONDON Stock Exchange. I have to call the broker to find out what they are trading at since I do not have access to the real time London quotes.
I have been buggin them since March as to what is going on with my shares and they said it take a while for the conversion. I told them my friends shares converted in March but that did not seem to make any impression. FINALLY, they said the bank in New York had LOST my shares then when I raised a ruckus about it they seemed to "magically" FIND them again. (GEESH!) MY QUESTION IS: Do I have any recourse with all of this since they have had my shares tied up since march (when the stock was much higher)and I have been unable to sell or do anything but wait...is there someone to call or do I just eat the loss or sit on the shares til they move again? Anyone have experience with something like this? TIA, Depy



To: Voltaire who wrote (23318)6/23/2000 11:53:00 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
V: Sorry I missed your big bash...hope you are having a great summer. I have been quite busy and have been ignoring this schizophrenic market.

Wow, I have very tempted to short Amazon for many months now -- their business model has been flawed for a LONG time and the sentiment has been eroding. IMO, they are 'The Titanic of internet stocks' -- I should have gone with my gut feeling but I don't tend to short stocks...**for some insights on the Titanic etailer called Amazon see the article I have attached below.

In the last few months look at how my SEBL has performed vs. Amazon....both firms may be 'Gorillas' in their categories BUT one of them is VERY PROFITABLE and never misses their numbers...;-)

Last time I checked Janus Funds was the number one holder of Amazon shares -- recently they owned about 10% of the shares....boy, that's hard to believe. You would think they could find some better alternatives -- like BRCD, DELL, NTAP, SCMR, SEBL, SDLI..etc. Oh well, we all make mistakes. Yet, I don't think Janus can lighten up as quickly as we can <VBG>...

Best Regards,

Scott
--------------------------------------------------

June 23, 2000 10:29am

Amazon crumbles on debt, sales growth worries

By Larry Dignan ZDII

<<Amazon.com was hit with a double whammy Friday. Lehman Brothers is flagging the company's debt load and prominent Wall Street analysts are predicting light sales in the second and third quarters.

Simply put, Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) is looking more and more like a plain-old retailer.

Despite Amazon's recent pledge to produce profits, Wall Street analysts said the e-tailer is seeing the effects of its growth-at-all costs strategy. Shares were down over 17 percent to 34 5/8, a 52-week low.

Debt piling up

Debt is beginning to pile up at Amazon, and Lehman Brothers convertible bond analyst Ravi Suria said Friday morning in a research report that "the company is displaying the operational and cash flow characteristics of a normal retailer, despite its 'virtual' pedigree."

This time last year, convertible bond offerings were a big fad with high-flying Internet stocks. Amazon was among the leaders funding future growth with convertible bonds. Other companies, including CNet (Nasdaq: CNET), DoubleClick (Nasdaq: DCLK), and Beyond.com (Nasdaq: BYND) also issued convertible debt.

Convertible bonds feature fixed interest payments to coupon holders of around 5 to 7 percent of the value of the note, paid in two chunks a year. Later, the company calls the bonds and investors to convert the securities to stock at a certain price. Last year, many Internet companies set the conversion price at a 20 percent to 30 percent premium to their stock prices when the bonds are issued and raise more cash than they could with a secondary offering.

Amazon has a 4.75 percent convertible maturing in 2009 and a euro-dominated convertible at 6.75 percent maturing in 2010.

Last January, funding growth with debt looked like a great idea. Amazon was within striking distance of calling the bonds, but then shares went into a long tailspin. When shares plummet, convertible debt turns into real debt.

In his report, Suria didn't pull any punches. "From a bond perspective, we find the credit extremely weak and deteriorating," he wrote. "The company's inability to make hard cash per unit sold, is clearly manifested in the weak balance sheet, poor working capital management and massive negative operating cash flow - the financial characteristics that have driven innumerable retailers to disaster throughout history.

'Current cash balances will last the company through the first quarter of 2001 under the best-case scenario.'
-- Lehman analyst Ravi Suria

"Adding to the operational weakness is the mounting pile of debt, as Amazon has essentially funded its revenues through a variety of sources over the past year. From 1997 through the last quarter, the company has received $2.8 billion in funding, while its revenues have been $2.9 billion - a whopping $0.95 for every dollar of merchandise sold."

Pending cash crunch?

The bottom line may be that Amazon could theoretically run out of cash just like its weaker competitors.

"In its current situation of high debt load, high interest costs, spiraling inventory and rising expansion costs, we believe that current cash balances will last the company through the first quarter of 2001 under the best-case scenario," wrote Suria.

Amazon isn't expected to break even until the fourth quarter of 2001.

The biggest difference between last year and this year is that Amazon transformed from a virtual e-tailer to a real world e-tailer. Suria said Amazon can't avoid the liquidity and cash problems that real world retailers have to face.

Because of Amazon's poor operations management the e-tailer looks "a lot more distressed than even mediocre real world retailers."

Suria also said that cost cutting isn't likely to get Amazon out of its current jam. Inventory, warehousing and distribution are fixed costs. "The issue here is not bloated costs, but doubts about the validity of the business model," he said.

Due to Amazon's inability to boost its operational execution, Suria said "the company will run out of cash within the next four quarters unless it manages to pull a financing rabbit out of its rather magical hat."

Slowing sales growth

So why is debt suddenly an issue for Amazon? Sales growth is slowing. Like traditional retailers, Amazon is increasingly becoming a fourth quarter story. Amazon, like other retailers, needs to hit a home run in the busy holiday season.

Amazon has managed to stay above concerns about e-tailers such as eToys (Nasdaq: ETYS), Buy.com (Nasdaq: BUYX) and others, but now the honeymoon may be over.

Morgan Stanley analyst Mary Meeker reportedly told brokers that she expects Amazon's second and third quarter sales to be light. Meeker, like other analysts, are viewing Amazon as a fourth quarter story.

'We are not looking for much, if any, upside to our second quarter revenue estimate.'
-- Merrill analyst Henry Blodget

Meeker's comments come a day after Merrill Lynch analyst Henry Blodget also voiced concerns about sales growth. "We are not looking for much, if any, upside to our second quarter revenue estimate of $585 million," said Blodget in a research note. "This estimate represents nominal growth of 2 percent sequentially, which would be slower than last year's 7 percent pace, and it is below some Street estimates."

Blodget said the weak sales growth can be attributed to a slowdown in the growth of the consumer Internet, slowing consumer spending and the laws of large numbers.

The analyst also opened the door to trimming his third quarter revenue target. "We still do not expect any positive catalysts for the stock until late summer or early fall (when excitement about the holiday shopping season should start to build)," said Blodget.>>