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To: pat mudge who wrote (11024)6/24/2000 5:17:00 PM
From: Glenn McDougall  Respond to of 24042
 
Internet boom bodes well for fibre-optic firms Technology forecast

Jill Vardy
Financial Post

OTTAWA - Bewildered by the array of beeping computer devices
around you? Get ready for more, say the authors of
PriceWaterhouseCoopers' latest technology forecast.

The consulting firm's annual book of predictions, Technology Forecast
2000, released this week, says we'll be using a variety of devices other
than our traditional PC to get Internet access and communicate in the
next two years. "These include e-mail access terminals,
non-Windows-based information appliances and electronic tablets based
on mobile flat-panel displays," the report predicts.

Outside the home, we'll be using more mobile handheld devices for
wireless Internet access. "We'll start to see new variations on the
devices hit the field this Christmas," predicts Terry Retter, contributing
editor of the technology forecast and a director of strategic technology
at PricewaterhouseCoopers' technology centre in California. "We'll see a
great deal of proliferation of these devices before we start to see
consolidation."

That's because no one knows what devices consumers are going to
choose as their preferred handheld tool for phoning, accessing the
Internet and e-mailing.

"What's not clear is if people want increased functionality on a single
handheld device, or more simple specialized devices," Mr. Retter said.
"Are we going to have more and more specialized devices hanging off
our belts, or do we want to reduce the number of devices we carry
down to one?"

Either way, firms such as Research in Motion Ltd., Nokia and Palm
Inc. should expect lots of competition from new gizmos. Many of the
innovations will likely come from Europe, where the
telecommunications infrastructure is more standardized than North
America's, Mr. Retter said.

The technology forecast, published annually, is a phone book-sized
compilation of predictions for the technology industry over the next two
years.

The continuing boom in Internet and wireless communications is good
news for Canadian companies who supply fibre optic components --
such as Nortel Networks Corp., JDS Uniphase Corp. and others -- and
for Ottawa, where many of the fibre optic companies are located.

"There is a significant amount of technology innovation, creativity and
evolution coming out of here," said Mr. Retter, in Ottawa to discuss the
forecast.

"This area of the world exhibits the same characteristics as Silicon
Valley -- a strong educational base, a smart work force, a positive work
environment and a positive non-work environment to retain the workers
who settle here."

He predicted a continued boom in the demand for fibre-optic equipment.
"We haven't even scratched the surface yet of that market ... the
backbone of the telecommunications infrastructure has moved to fibre,
but at the commercial or consumer level it hasn't started to penetrate in
depth, yet."

Companies will move quickly to bring the speed and bandwidth of fibre
to houses and offices in the years ahead, PricewaterhouseCoopers
suggests.