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To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 9:23:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Let the Truth of why Richard Geist put a strong buy recommendation on Ziasun set you free;

"OTC Growth Stock Watch has an impressive record of finding emerging growth companies before they become well known. Geoff Eiten's analysis of each company is one of the most thorough and comprehensive that I have read."
Richard Geist, Editor, Financial Strategies and Investing.

marketrap.com



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 9:28:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Even More on Richard Geist->SSP Management Newsletters

Story Filed: Wednesday, June 16, 1999 7:02 AM EST

SAN DIEGO, Jun 16, 1999 (BUSINESS WIRE via COMTEX) -- SSP Management, a wholly-owned subsidiary of 1st Net Technologies (OTCBB:FNTT), is proud to announce that investment expert Dr. Richard Geist will be a regular contributing editor for its investments and financial industry newsletters, Small Cap Digest ( www.smallcapdigest.com) and OTC Journal ( www.otcjournal.com).

Dr. Geist's monthly column, which will be e-mailed to subscribers on the fifteenth of every month, will discuss the psychology of investing. His recommendations have been featured in Dick Davis Digest, Investor's Digest, Gene Marcial's "Inside Wall Street" column in Business Week, Fortune, Bull and Bear, and The Wall Street Journal. His market commentary and thoughts on the psychology of investing have also been quoted in Barron's, Harvard Magazine, Financial Planning Magazine, Forbes, The New York Times, and USA Today. He has also appeared on CNN, CNBC, PBS, and Bloomberg Television. Dr. Geist has also been a special guest on Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street Week.

Dr. Geist has a doctorate in psychology from Harvard University, and an instructor in the department of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School. He lectures extensively on the psychology of investing and investing in the small-cap and micro-cap market. His first column in Small Cap Digest can be viewed at www.smallcapsdigest.com.

About SSP Management Acquired by 1st Net Technologies in January, 1999, SSP Management extends the reach of 1st Net's content-based routing and delivery system. SSP Management publishes a series of newsletters on the investments industry (outlined below) to profile companies seeking growth capital from investors, and maintains a database of accredited investors seeking investment opportunities in the small- and micro-caps markets. A rigorous due diligence process ensures each newsletter's integrity.

-- Small Cap Digest (
smallcapdigest.com) Small Cap
Digest is a fee-based e-mail publication. This newsletter
profiles client companies with the potential to provide
subscribers with profitable returns, and the information
required to make sound investment decisions.

-- OTC Journal (
otcjournal.com) Published for the
investor seeking new opportunities in the small-caps and
micro-caps market, OTC Journal offers comprehensive corporate
profiles to its subscribers.

-- The Angel Network (
angelnetwork.com) The Angel
Network is 1st Net's proprietary database of accredited
investors. The newsletter offers private investment
opportunities in companies about to go public. When seeking
capital for expansion, private companies may be profiled on
The Angel Network's database of accredited investors. All
Securities law restrictions are strictly followed.
In compliance with section 17(b) of the Federal Securities Act of 1933, all 1st Net Internet newsletters provide individual disclaimers for each company they profile, including the source, form and amount of all compensation received by the publisher. The company carefully and accurately discloses all payments it receives.

About 1st Net Technologies Inc.: 1st Net is an Internet products company specializing in enabling core technologies. These technologies support a new paradigm pioneered by 1st Net called "Content Based Routing and Delivery" to control and monitor information, telephony and video services on a single platform.

1st Net also delivers innovative services for publicly traded companies, and high net worth investors.

-- Services for publicly traded companies include Corporate Due
Diligence Web Sites, Custom Database Systems Management, and
E-Marketing.

-- Services for high net worth investors include Online Financial
Information Resources, including Financial Newsletters and
Investment Opportunity Profiling.
Note: News releases and other information on 1st NET TECHNOLOGIES INC. can be accessed at 1stnettech.com on the Internet.

The foregoing press release may include numerous forward-looking statements concerning the company's business and future prospects and other similar statements that do not concern matters of historical fact. The federal securities laws provide a limited "safe harbor" for certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this press release relating to product development, business prospects and development of a commercial market for technological advances are based on the company's current expectations. The company's current expectations are subject to all of the uncertainties and risks customarily associated with new business ventures including, but not limited to, market conditions, successful product development and acceptance, competition and overall economic conditions, as wellas the risk of adverse regulatory actions. The company's actual results may differ materially from current expectations. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The company disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or for any other reason.

Copyright (C) 1999 Business Wire. All rights reserved.




CONTACT: 1st Net Technologies Inc.
Jeff Chatfield, 619/675-4449, Fax 619/675-4443
1stnettech.com
WEB PAGE: businesswire.com
GEOGRAPHY: CALIFORNIA
INDUSTRY CODE: COMPUTERS/ELECTRONICS
COMED
INTERACTIVE/MULTIMEDIA/INTERNET
MANAGEMENT
CHANGES
Today's News On The Net - Business Wire's full file on the Internet with Hyperlinks to your home page.

Copyright ¸ 1999, Business Wire, all rights reserved.

You may now print or save this document.



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 9:37:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
This Richard Geist is a friggin joke;

BNEZ - BEN EZRA WEINSTEIN & CO INC
Exchange: OTC
Delay: at least 15 minutes
Last Price: 0.01 at 12:21 EDT
Change: Down 0.01 (-50.00%)
High: 0.10
Low: 0.01 at 9:35 EDT
Open: 0.01
Previous Close: 0.02 on 6/22
Volume: 220
Currency Units: US Dollar

Confirm all data with your broker or financial advisor before trading.

Data by: S&P ComStock

Ben Ezra, Weinstein, Inc.: Going Public For 20 Cents On The Dollar
There is a difference between a shell game and Wall Street's "best efforts" work in financing new businesses but it sometimes eludes me.

Entrepreneurs usually lay out several hundred thousand dollars of precious capital to investment bankers. The bankers bring in accountants and lawyers and make an honest "best efforts" try at raising the money. If the effort fails, entrepreneurs are told to chalk it up to experience. Thanks.

If you believe in the entrepreneur/principals of Ben Ezra, Weinstein, Inc. you may be able to skip most of this cost and conserve a lot of capital.

The two streetwise principals have been launching their CapScape software, a series of interactive worksheets. CapScape is designed to guide ordinary individuals in drafting "Reg A" public offering prospecti so that they can then offer shares on the internet at exceptionally low cost.

Popular Capitalism from Ben Ezra. Good idea. This developmental stage company deserves to make it. Nothing is more galling than to learn a promising venture has been dashed on the rocks of Wall Street greed.

I am writing this piece not so much to alert you to an investment as to say 'if you want to go public, you can do lots of the work on your own.'

Richard Geist's newsletter Strategic Investing told about BNEZ (OTC BB) on Feb. 9. The shares were 1 3/4 on March 13. The stock was 2 1/8 before America Online indicated the stock was selling at pennies a share. BNEZ is suing because AOL delayed a correction for tiny BNEZ which has a total of 10 million shares. (There are 2.9 million shares in the "float" or trading supply.) The stock is not even listed in Standard & Poor's exhaustive stock guide. That is to say, to own BNEZ is to be a pioneer.

The company was set up in the summer of 1995 to offer technical advice to companies that were trying to raise money on the internet. That saved the major costs of printing and postage but not the huge expenses of professionally preparing SEC documents. So BNEZ developed a software program that would help businesses create their own offering documents.

BNEZ of Albuquerque, N.M., was then written up in a major financial publication. Hundreds wrote for the software. Business people, lawyers, accountants and financial counselors, all sought the materials. Forget the advice. Very little demand for that. As so often happens, the business was organized to do one thing, but the market place dictated a quite different strategy. (Some say a different thrust invariably happens.)

The principals set up a software development team and, in a wise move, or so it seems to me, included a professor of rhetoric. CapScape software puts major emphasis to the narrative material in the prospectus.

Geist is an MD whose day job is instructor in psychiatry at Harvard Medical School. Dr. Geist confirms that narrative is key as the text must create a cogent document conveying the essence of the company. Geist writes: "CapScape is a tutorial, strategic guide, and an implementation guide for the narrative sections." The guide, which takes the business 85 percent of the way to a final document, has been tested on individuals who include many high school graduates and some securities lawyers as well.

The CapScape draft must be vetted by accountants and lawyers. But, according to Geist, BNEZ has rounded up both law firms and accounting firms familiar with CapScape. They have committed to finish the process within specific (low) fee schedules. BNEZ also has a printer who agrees to tie in the templating of CapScape to official financial printing forms.

Geist writes that one is thus looking at completing a document with financials and legal and accounting opinion for about $25,000: "In the scope of finance, that figure is revolutionary. Generally legal fees start at $50,000 to $60,000 and go up and that does not include accounting."

On the other hand, I am aware of one highly sophisticated and well connected individual who recently had the legal work for his prospectus done for $25,000. I doubt many entrepreneurs could win similar low fees.

CapScape software has a limited market with an indicated total sale of 60,000 units. But BNEZ has already booked orders for 1,000 at $1,200 a pop. For six months after purchase, the owner can access BNEZ's website to download any changes or upgrades. Thereafter, upgrades cost $300, which is how the company has decided to deal with multiple use issues.

BNEZ marketers have created lists of financial planners, accountants and so forth for its telemarketers. They have tested their scripts and, in the test phase, they have a closing rate of 9 percent. That means that for every 100 calls they get orders from nine, said to be "extremely high" returns. Keep in mind that the concern has a scary (to me) 30 day no questions asked return policy. It is not yet clear how returns will affect revenues. But results to date are encouraging. BNEZ may well earn 13 cents in the first calendar quarter of '97 and is "on track" to earn 40 cents in all of this year.

Management, which spent $1 million developing CapScape feels confident it would take a competitor six months to a year to create rival software. Meanwhile, management feels it would cost a large company three times that and take them twice as long to develop a similar product.

(By way of explanation, The New York Times' Bernard Weinraub reports that the movie, Shine, done by an independent film maker for $4 million, would have cost a major Hollywood studio six times that amount.)

The software is copyrighted and trademarked. It is hoped that the jump on the competition will allow BNEZ enough time to establish its name and develop substantial market share before others mine this niche.

Another BNEZ product, Private Placement Master (PPM) is due in the Spring. PPM allows the user to write a private placement document. A third new product, Personal Market Analyst (PMA), teaches people how to read prospecti and memoranda as well as 10Ks, 10Qs and brokers' reports. PMA will also allow users access to a special server that will tie into the Edgar system and download Ks and Qs. Once documents are in hand, an autoscanner ferrets out catch phrases often used to hide key financial facts.

Co-founder Jack Ben Ezra did six years as a Dean Witter investment banker. That's a key resume item as is his venture capital experience. He has worked both the retail and operations sides of the brokerage business.

Co-founder Michael Weinstein was assistant general counsel in the White House Office of Administration under Reagan and Attorney Advisor for telecommunications and computer systems, Office of Management and Budget (OMB). He was also general counsel for Perot Systems during the hard fought litigation with General Motors. He founded Find Dad, the largest private company collecting delinquent child support payments.

Obviously, the two have solid credentials. But there are risks. BNEZ is moving from the developmental stage to a sales and marketing concern. There is, as Geist points out, major risk for any firm doing this transition.

Other risks: BNEZ must generate the cash to manage potential rapid growth. CapScape's limited-market means other products in the pipeline will have to succeed for the concern to establish its long term viability. You should assume that should you invest, you could lose all of your principal.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 9:51:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Richard Geist->On July 7, 1995, the shares of Gaming Lottery rose $1.50
to close at $7.00 a share as a result of a favorable Business Week
report wherein Richard Geist, an investment adviser, stated he
thought the Company "could double in size almost overnight" with
the purchase of one of the leading gaming products suppliers.
Geist and Laser Friendly's stock would rise to about $9 this year
and $20 in the next two years, and he expected its earnings per
share to grow to about 64 cents for the year ending January 31,
1996 from 38 cents. securities.stanford.edu



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 9:54:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Richard Geist recommended Laser Friendly->Canadians Charged With Bank Defraud
.c The Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) - Two executives of a Canadian-based company have been indicted on charges of stealing more than $32 million from a British bank, Manhattan District Attorney Robert Morgenthau said Thursday.

He said the defendants, Jack Banks, 51, and Larry Weltman, 37, were arrested last Friday at the U.S. District Court building in Manhattan where they are defendants in a class-action lawsuit alleging securities fraud.

Both were charged with first-degree grand larceny and scheme to defraud under the state's general business law. They face up to 25 years in prison if convicted of grand larceny, the top count.

State Supreme Court Justice Robert Lippmann set bail at $35 million for Banks, who said he has homes in Ontario, Gibraltar, Israel and Florida. The judge set bail at $3 million for Weltman, who lives in Thornhill, Ontario.

Morgenthau said Banks, chief executive officer of Galaxiworld.com, and Weltman, the company's chief financial officer, defrauded a Manhattan branch of Coutts & Co. of $32 million by artificially inflating the value of their company's stock to get loans.

The defendants used Laser Friendly - the former name of Galaxiworld.com - to acquire companies that make lottery tickets, betting slips and other paper betting supplies, Morgenthau said. At some point, he said, they bought such a company in the state of Washington.

In Washington, companies that make those supplies are regulated by the state and require licensing and regulatory approval. When Laser Friendly applied to Coutts for loans, its officers neglected to mention that it had not yet received licensing and regulatory approval, Morgenthau said.

Coutts gave Laser Friendly loans totaling $32 million. The bank lost a total of $28 million when only $4 million of the loan was recovered.

Meanwhile, Laser Friendly was the target of a ``cease and desist' court order obtained by Washington's gaming commission and had to pay the state $750,000 in fines and fees, Morgenthau said.

The district attorney said the defendants also defrauded investors who bought Laser Friendly stock at the artificially inflated prices, without knowing the truth about the regulatory status of the company's acquisitions.

AP-NY-03-02-00 1626EST



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:07:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
BTW, Francois Goelo did not write this. Richard Geist did.

To: Frank_Ching who wrote (8506)
From: Francois Goelo Sunday, June 25, 2000 2:01 AM ET
Reply # of 8557

The Creation of Misunderstanding: STOCK MANIPULATION 101...

One of the primary principles that motivates us all is the organizing and ordering of experience--in other words, making meaning out of our perceptions. Most of us who enjoy investing in development stage companies have done considerable due diligence before committing monies. It is our understanding of the company's products, services and management that leads to a sense of confidence in the face of risk. It is this "understanding" which strengthens our sense of self and allows us to remain invested long term in an early stage company. At the same time there is always a fear that we might be misconstruing or misinterpreting a situation. This is why it is so important for management of development stage companies to continually make themselves available to investors. For as long as we feel knowledgeable and confident, it is possible to tolerate a wide variety of emotions as early stage companies attempt to achieve success against major odds. Without this confidence and understanding, we can't tolerate glitches in the company's progress, and we tend to sell out at just the wrong time.

One of the first ploys of those attempting to manipulate our emotions is to create misunderstanding. For example, reports are published employing emotionally tinged language with highly pejorative connotations--e.g. "It's been reported that highly questionable relationships exist with the apparently unknown investment bankers..." Reported by whom? What questionable relationships? Who says they are questionable? Investment bankers apparently unknown by whom? Why does it matter if they are unknown? These are all reasonable queries in the face of such a statement. But the herd rarely challenges such distortions. Instead we buy into the demeaning and inflammatory connotations that are designed to create confusion and misunderstanding in a contextual absence of any accurate facts to support a particular author's pejorative biases.

When we feel we've misjudged a stock pick, a number of interesting psychological phenomena take place. The containment of strong emotion becomes impossible (thus the normal self doubt characterizing such investments is no longer tolerated); psychological defenses such as paranoia are mobilized, and the confidence in our decisions begins to break down. In a word, the successful creation of misunderstanding leads to significant self-doubt, which is increasingly difficult to tolerate, and eventuates in exiting an important position at exactly the wrong time.

Adhominem Arguments

An Adhominem argument is defined as one that is directed at destroying the validity of a proposition, product, technology or service by attacking a person's character rather than addressing the rational flaws in the company's product or technology. For example, a CEO might be attacked because one of his or her shareholders had been involved in an unrelated shady deal ten years ago; thus, by implication, the reader takes away the idea that the CEO might be dishonest also. Or the Chief Financial Officer may have worked for a company that went into bankruptcy in the past, thus implying that the CFO had a direct responsibility for the bankruptcy and will repeat his or her mistakes in the present situation.

Many of us remain with a small company through difficult times because we admire and respect its management. One of the requirements for maintaining our investment confidence is our connection with available others who can be admired, looked up to and felt to be a source of strength and empowerment. (This is one reason, why we become so frustrated and angry when management lets us down, and it is this rage, which fuels many frivolous shareholder lawsuits). By calculating ways to destroy the credibility of such admired others, the enemies of a company attempt to weaken investors' connections to their admired management. Psychologically, this disruption tends to temporarily short-circuit our self-assurance, leading to a drop in self-esteem and vitality--and thus our investment staying power. For it is our imagined (or real) connection with a competent management that safeguards against mistrust and second-guessing ourselves.

Contagious Emotions

It is a fact of life that emotions can be contagious. Whenever our sense of self weakens, a psychological regression takes place in which cognitive functioning no longer remains at a logical rational, level. In other words, rather than maintaining our usual cognitive sophistication when making reasoned judgements, we begin to associate words and concepts with their emotional connotations. For example, the word red no longer denotes a color along a spectrum; it connotes danger. When the media wittingly or unwittingly relies on short sellers for their headlines "du jour" (those sound-bytes that sell newspapers or attract viewers) the media choose emotionally laden topics designed to appeal to investor emotion, usually suspicion and paranoia. For example, if a struggling company resorts to a Reg.-S stock offering, company detractors can point to the numerous underhanded stock deals that have occurred in what is actuality a legal and legitimate mode of financing. Such comments rarely include an analysis of the specific deal under discussion to determine its merits, or the fact that the financing may have been, for example, obtained at market rates rather than at the usual discount. The seeming intent of such inflammatory language is to evoke in investors an internal response, which has some affinity to the author's pejorative analogy by relying on the fact that emotions are contagious. Such subtly biased (positive or negative) writing has been referred to in the literature as "journalism of illusion," and more recently by Robert Samuelson as "junk journalism."

The World as Attacker

Whenever we feel threatened by anxiety, misunderstanding, or blatant attacks on our judgements, capacities or character, we become emotionally vulnerable. At his point our sensitivities become heightened. Sights, sounds, smells, off hand comments, or rumors that are typically ignored become very disturbing to us. Such vulnerability includes a readiness to experience the world as an attacker because the stimuli to which we have become so sensitive become organized in a paranoid way in order to be mastered. This is the reason why those who use emotionally manipulative devices can so easily disrupt financing arrangements. The investment bankers who are potentially open to funding development stage companies become just as caught up in the generated paranoia as the average investor. Furthermore, these investment bankers succumb to herd mentality, saying to themselves, if Merrill Lynch or Smith Barney hasn't jumped to secure the company's business, why should we?

The Negative Use of the Obvious

Many concepts in the investment world are taken for granted, but these notions are easily manipulated to appear anomalous. For example, a common ploy when discussing development stage companies is to point out that the company has never reported any meaningful sales or earnings. One could argue that such comments either reflects very little experience investing in development stage companies, or that someone is attempting to turn the obvious into frightening revelations. It contributes to the na‹ve impression that one should not invest in companies, which have shown no profits. But the negative use of the obvious creates a psychological feeling of estrangement in us--e.g. how could I be so stupid as to invest in a company with no earnings or revenues"? The distortion of common sense facts fosters a sense of enfeeblement in one's sense of self, as we feel exposed to such an "obvious" mistake.

The Illusion of Objectivity

Those attempting to manipulate investor emotion set themselves up to become the admired, omnipotent, and reliable purveyor of objective information to others. Playing on the notion that companies sometimes exaggerate the benefits of their products or services, these individuals display an unshakable self-confidence in their statements and express their "knowledge" with absolute certainty. Usually they'll back it up by erroneous or out of context statements from ostensibly reputable studies which are not made available to investors. These characteristics are especially designed to sway those of us whose self-esteem has been temporarily damaged during periods of market upheaval. For it is during such periods that we are seeking hard facts and certainty. Much like cult leaders, the "experts" surface at this point to "objectively" point out the moral flaws in other's personalities and behavior.

It is only by recognizing these subtle, manipulative devices that we can avoid acting irrationally -especially in the face of volatile market retreats.



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:09:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Two independent securities analysts, Access1 Financial, and Financial Strategies and Investing, Inc., have made strong buy recommendations of $30 or more per share.http://www.insidewallstreet.com/companies/ZSUN/index.html



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:35:00 PM
From: StockDung  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10354
 
More on Richard Geist. Francois quoting him and now finding this, I am pea-ing in my pants. Eiten and Geist go way back to Solv-Ex. No wonder he put a strong buy recommendation on Ziasun.

For example, in June 1995, Westergaard gave a ringing endorsement to Toronto-based The Instant Publisher, sounding even more upbeat than Richard Geist, a controversial newsletter writer who championed the ill-fated Solv-Ex and was also keen on Instant Publisher. Westergaard compared the firm's printer to the copier that launched Xerox's explosive growth during the 1960s, saying the unprofitable Toronto firm could turn in $2 Candian per share by FY97. Even when he revised his estimates down in October 1995, citing earlier carelessness on his part, Westergaard projected the stock could trade at $70 U.S. a share in a few years, based on his FY98 estimates. Instant Publisher stock doubled to $8 on the positive comments and a move to the Nasdaq from the Toronto exchange. It then collapsed, as it totally failed to meet projections. Instant Publisher became DIVERSINET CORP. (Nasdaq: DVNTF), which now trades at about $1 per share.


An Internet "Bounty" to Silence Premier Laser's Harshest Critic?
by Louis Corrigan (RgeSeymour)

Like a character out of Kafka, Steve K. stands accused of a largely unspecified crime he says he didn't commit. And he says his business life has been turned upside down as a result. For the last week, he has also suffered the anxieties of a man with a bounty on his head. His main concern is how to clear his name and squeeze justice from those whom, he believes, have damaged his reputation.

Depending on how it turns out, his story could prove to be a cautionary tale, either for investors who make negative comments about public companies on online message boards or for corporations that might try to prevent such investors from doing so. At the very least, it appears that John Westergaard, of WESTERGAARD ONLINE SYSTEMS (OTC: WSYS), and Westergaard's client PREMIER LASER SYSTEMS (Nasdaq: PLSIA) might end up facing a lawsuit as a result of this online skirmish.

Steve will not reveal his full name, nor even the "K." That comes from certain message board posts that also suggest he lives in the Las Vegas area. But he describes himself as "an Internet trading investor." In a phone interview, he said, "I don't have an employer, haven't had one for a number of years." He frequents the Motley Fool message boards using the screen name "Pluvia1" and the Silicon Investor (SI) message boards under the name "Pluvia." He also posts his online portfolio on America Online's Shark Attack boards. Pluvia, as we'll call him, said he's been involved in the stock market since 1982, as a broker, analyst, market maker, or trader.

"I'm very familiar with a lot of things in the market," he said. "And I've seen a lot of scams. When I come across situations that appear to be hype, I'll let people know about it. I did the exact same thing in a company called Teletek about a year ago."

Indeed, Pluvia was a vocal TELETEK (OTC: TLTK) bear from the time the stock traded around $7 a share until the company all but disintegrated as its top officials were indicted for fraud. The fallout dropped the stock below a buck a share. Then last February, in an unusual attempt to salvage the company, longtime Teletek shareholder and Fool poster Cliff Plaszczewski (screen name "Cliffplas") teamed up with Pluvia to serve on an official Teletek advisory panel designed to help clean house and restore shareholder confidence. At one point, Pluvia's passionate pleading with creditors was literally the only thing keeping the firm out of bankruptcy proceedings that would have left the stock essentially worthless. Yet he quickly found that the situation was far worse than investors could have known. "Some of the numbers in the SEC filings were fraudulent," he said. "I ended up being right on about 99% of what I said with Teletek."

Pluvia's latest target has been Premier Laser Systems, a company that sells ophthalmic lasers and teeth whitening lasers and has recently attracted fervent attention from online investors who think its new Er:YAG dental laser may usher in an era of near pain-free dentistry. In May, the company's Centauri Er:YAG laser became the first ever cleared for marketing by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for use on hard tissue, or cavities. As we reported May 29, the decision surprised officials at the American Dental Association and left some dentists skeptical about whether the $40,000 systems would prove versatile enough to be cost-effective. Even some dentists specializing in laser surgery suggested that the FDA clearance was significant mainly for opening up the field to an inevitable rush of competitors, including firms such as AMERICAN DENTAL TECHNOLOGIES (Nasdaq: ADLI) and BIOLASE TECHNOLOGY (Nasdaq: BLTI).

Pluvia became interested in the story, he said, because he has been involved in laser dentistry, purchasing and using teeth whitening lasers sold by ION LASER TECHNOLOGY (AMEX: ILT). At one point, he also had the exclusive rights to supply Ion Laser's equipment and whitening agents in his area. Knowing the business, he was skeptical about the claims Premier was making in its press releases. In numerous posts on the Fool and SI message boards, he charged Premier with exaggerating the number of Er:YAG lasers it was selling or shipping and exaggerating the number of prospective customers attending Premier-sponsored training classes.

For example, Pluvia highlighted a press release of June 2 where Premier CEO Colette Cozean said the company started shipping the first Er:YAG laser in May and expected to ship up to two dozen "this month." Yet in the firm's August 13 press release reporting on the first quarter ended June 30, Cozean said only nine lasers were shipped to customers during the quarter, with seven other systems going to training locations. This discrepancy wasn't merely due to logistical problems.

Pluvia also noted that Premier's May 20 press release discussing the strong interest from dentists following the FDA decision said that the firm had received about 1,200 telephone inquiries and that 10% of all such calls were leading to orders. At roughly $40,000 a system, that would mean the backlog stood at $4.8 million by late May. Yet based on the August 13 report, the backlog for Er:YAG lasers was just $2.6 million on June 30, despite the fact that the nine lasers Premier had shipped to customers amounted to just $360,000 in sales.

Pluvia also said that during one training session in southern California, the laser being used actually failed in the middle of the course. He has also charged that Premier has "a history of failure," including a few joint ventures that the company has had to write-off entirely. Finally, he's questioned the rationale for Premier acquiring EyeSys, a money-losing firm that, in Pluvia's view, seems like a big risk considering its significant historical losses and the added dilution to the value of Premier's shares. Indeed, Pluvia has argued that the EyeSys creditors who are accepting stock in the deal are likely to start dumping Premier shares onto the market as soon as they have it in hand -- or shorting against their positions as soon as they can be sure the deal will close. According to the definitive prospectus, such selling could begin by late September.

Pluvia has taken a lot of heat on the message boards for his comments. Yet nothing could have prepared him for what happened August 20. That's when John Westergaard posted the following message on his Westergaard Online website:

"Westergaard Internet Broadcasting Network (WIBN) posts $5,000 reward for information on 'Steve Pluvia', the Silicon Investor Registered Pen Name of a person, or persons, circulating disinformation designed to drive down the price of Premier Laser Systems (PLSIA) common shares. WIBN (www.wbn.com) will pay $5,000 to anyone who provides the most complete dossier on 'Steve Pluvia'. Information should include name, work and home addresses, co-conspirators, names of hedge funds or other parties on whose behalf 'Pluvia' is acting, and any other information relevant to determining the activities and motives of the subject. Dossiers must be submitted to WIBN by noon Wednesday, August 27.... This service is one arm of WIBN which has been designed to continually sweep the Internet to identify parties such as 'Steve Pluvia' engaged in circulating rumors, fraudulent or intentionally misleading investment information or analysis for financial gain, competitive advantage or other purposes. WIBN will be formally launched September 4."

The "bounty" immediately attracted notice on the Fool's Premier message folder on AOL. It also led to hundreds of posts in the last week to SI's "Pluvia vs. Westergaard" thread questioning the motives of each party in the dispute but generally siding with Pluvia. His predicament has inspired endless debate about the role of anonymous screen names in maintaining a poster's privacy and the importance of free speech on the Internet. The SI posters have repeatedly returned to the idea that online communities should be self-policing and that Westergaard was overstepping his bounds by purporting to play moderator. His offer was widely seen as an act of intimidation that, if left unanswered, could have a chilling effect on the kind of freewheeling discussion on online investment boards that allows all sides to be heard. Others suggested that Pluvia or a designate should send in a dossier to claim the prize and donate the money to charity, perhaps a school in Kenya.

As the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has noted, it is against the law for an investor to knowingly post false information about a company on a message board. And last fall, one man peculiarly fixated on spreading misinformation about the management of FONIX (Nasdaq: FONX) had to make a quick and public apology or risk losing his career. Some companies that have charged short-sellers with spreading false information on message boards have sought legal redress of one sort of another. QUIGLEY CORP. (Nasdaq: QGLY) asked the SEC to investigate certain phoney press releases and online posts that company officials thought were part of a conspiracy to undermine its stock. Solv-Ex, the controversial oil extractor (now bankrupt), even sued its short-sellers, with some of the negative posters on the Fool's AOL boards complaining of receiving subpoenas.

Online message boards may appear to offer anonymity. Ultimately, they do not. A public company determined to go after a critic who is spreading lies can go through the proper channels to attain a poster's otherwise confidential information from AOL or a website that requires posters to register, as the Silicon Investor does. It's not easy. AOL will not disclose such information without an order from the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, and attaining the court's approval takes time and money. Still, offering a cash bounty to attain such information looks to some online investors like a stunt designed to publicize Westergaard's new WIBN offering. If so, it may have backfired, because Pluvia came out swinging in his early morning post on August 21.

"I stand behind my statements and opinions regarding the company Premier Laser Systems," he wrote. "My statements and opinions are based upon information provided to me by dentists attending Premier Laser?s Dental Drill training classes and in documented phone conversations with employees of Premier Laser Systems, including a lengthy conversation with Premier Laser Systems CEO.... I have never held a long or short position in any of PLSIA?s securities nor worked with others who hoped to gain financially as you have suggested, by anything I posted on the Internet. Your 'Reward' placed on my head, so to speak, is a clear violation of my privacy, and it is has damaged my business. Furthermore, you have clearly slandered me in your comments which have damaged my reputation with my peers."

Pluvia went on to say it seemed that Westergaard had been paid by Premier to promote the company, in part, perhaps, to keep Premier's price up so the firm could "gain millions of dollars through the exercise of their warrants." The fast ramp-up of lasers promised by Premier depended on raising cash to cover manufacturing costs. The firm's recent 10-Q filing makes it clear that of Premier's $25 million in cash and securities at the end of the first quarter, nearly all came from the voluntary exercise of warrants during the last seven weeks of the quarter following the FDA ruling. The $23.7 million generated from the exercise of warrants led to the issuance of over two million Class B (PLSIZ) warrants and 3.34 million shares of Premier's common stock.

At an exercise price of $6.50, Premier's Class A warrants (PLSIW) can be exchanged for one share of common stock plus one Class B warrant. Class B warrants exercise at $8 and are good for one share of common. During the first quarter, there were over 2 million Class A warrants and 1.3 million Class B warrants exercised. That left about half a million Class A warrants and 5 million Class B warrants outstanding as of June 30. The company could redeem these warrants, and thus receive an additional $47 million in cash, if for 30 consecutive days the closing bid for Premier's stock was above $9.10 (for the A warrants) or $11.20 (for the B warrants). In effect, then, Premier paid Westergaard to attack its "toughest cyber critic" because he was endangering the company's capacity to raise much desired capital. That, at least, is Pluvia's view.

Pluvia closed by calling for Westergaard to retract his statements and the reward offering. "Furthermore I demand a printed apology to my liking to be posted no later than the close of business tomorrow EST in your 'Daily Interpreter' website, on the Motley Fool and Silicon Investor Premier Laser stock boards. Any failure to comply with these demands will result in my attempt to remedy through every legal channel available."

Westergaard makes much of the fact that he has been analyzing micro-cap stocks for 40 years and that he has appeared on the PBS show "Wall Street Week," where host Louis Rukeyser called him America's "guru" of smallcap stock investing. Material on the website describes Westergaard Online as "the leading Internet provider of investment research and analysis on investor owned micro-cap companies of less than $300 million market capitalization." What is never said directly is that, one way or another, many of the companies mentioned on the site seem to have paid Westergaard for the attention.

Rather than independent research and analysis, Westergaard and his staff appear to provide something closer to the Web version of an infomercial But without the kind of "paid advertisement" disclosures typically found at the top of print ads that resemble a newspaper or magazine's regular editorial copy, online investors have no way to know whether they're reading analysis that may not be as disinterested as it appears.

Westergaard's principal business seems to be promotions. Until he built up his website site in 1995, much of his work involved sending out profiles of micro-cap companies via his Institutional NETWORK, "a proprietary computer-to-fax digital transmission system," according to the description on his Web page. "Profiles are reviewed regularly with management to consider editorial changes." This fax network reaches up to 12,000 investment professionals and is part of the Westergaard 2000 Series service, which provides quarterly maintenance coverage on up to 300 companies. From this list of companies, Pegasus, described as "a member association of investment professionals organized to develop action oriented investment ideas," then makes investment recommendations.

According to the Web description, "There is no corporate charge for coverage by these published services." In addition, "It is the policy of Mr. Westergaard and the employees of Westergaard Online not to purchase or sell securities recommended in Pegasus." Nonetheless, Westergaard serves as Executor Director of Pegasus, and Westergaard Online's Platinum Select service for corporations "charges registration fees for editorial consultation, Internet monitoring services and for the cost of fax transmission." In addition, the website notes that on occasion, Westergaard Publishing Corporation receives fees for "the introduction of investment banking opportunities to third parties." Sparked by Pluvia's battle, some online investors have taken to calling Westergaard a paid "tout."

For years, Westergaard also has organized investor conferences at New York's Waldorf Astoria hotel. Companies that participate pay Westergaard's firm up to $8,000 for the right to appear. There's considerable overlap between the more than 200 companies that have appeared at these conferences in the last 20 years and the firms highlighted in Westergaard's publications. On the advice of its PR firm Allen & Caron, Premier has appeared at several Westergaard conferences and will be present at the September 4 conference that will launch the WIBN.

The WIBN is essentially a collection of websites, each of which is leased to a public company but owned and ultimately managed by Westergaard. This arrangement, he has said, allows Westergaard to take full responsibility for the content. Appearing to be sites offering an objective presentation of information aggregated from various online sources, these "cyber-stations" will actually offer companies a chance to control their persona by filtering this information, if necessary. Participating companies, such as Premier, are known as "member affiliates," and they pay Westergaard Online $30,000 for the service.

For that sum, Westergaard provides an analyst to compose research reports on the company; $10,000 worth of advertising, either on the Internet or in small ads in Investor's Business Daily; and a service he calls the WBN Cyberpatrol that will sweep a company's stock boards looking for posters spreading "misinformation." As Pluvia says, "This looks like pure paid PR, money that comes from the company to him to make it appear as though it's an independent firm giving them recommendations."

Westergaard, though, sees things differently. He has said that his ethical position is "no different than a Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs and other investment banking firms [that] have maintained their reputations for providing respected research on their investment banking clients with whom they have a fiduciary relationship."

Though some "member affiliates" of WIBN are midcap companies, the majority of firms featured at Westergaard conferences and on his Web pages are small, speculative outfits. The stocks of such companies can run up on optimistic earnings forecasts only to plummet when the company fails to meet the lofty expectations. That's happened to a number of firms followed by Westergaard.

For example, in June 1995, Westergaard gave a ringing endorsement to Toronto-based The Instant Publisher, sounding even more upbeat than Richard Geist, a controversial newsletter writer who championed the ill-fated Solv-Ex and was also keen on Instant Publisher. Westergaard compared the firm's printer to the copier that launched Xerox's explosive growth during the 1960s, saying the unprofitable Toronto firm could turn in $2 Candian per share by FY97. Even when he revised his estimates down in October 1995, citing earlier carelessness on his part, Westergaard projected the stock could trade at $70 U.S. a share in a few years, based on his FY98 estimates. Instant Publisher stock doubled to $8 on the positive comments and a move to the Nasdaq from the Toronto exchange. It then collapsed, as it totally failed to meet projections. Instant Publisher became DIVERSINET CORP. (Nasdaq: DVNTF), which now trades at about $1 per share.

Similarly, back on February 12, 1996, Westergaard Online issued an analysis of BIOSAFE INTERNATIONAL (Nasdaq: BSFE), then trading at $3 5/8. He concluded that the firm would soon be generating free cash of $10 a share. "That's got to be a $50 stock in 3-4 years by our book!!!" Unfortunately, after a bounce to the $4 area, the stock continued its long descent to the current quote around $0.40 a share.

The penny stocks Westergaard often highlights can be easily manipulated. Westergaard, however, has often expressed his desire to crack down on those who might attempt such deceptions. In a preview last January of things to come, Westergaard offered a $5,000 reward for information that could help identify whoever sent out a phoney DOCUCON (Nasdaq: DOCU) press release that suggested the firm might have stumbled upon a solution to the Year 2000 computer problem.

The shares of this penny stock briefly jumped to $1.65 per share, only to fall back to the current level of $0.62. Docucon was a veteran of Westergaard's Waldorf conferences. The search for the "perp," as the headline read, included tracking down the owner of the server that had dispatched the news release. Apparently nothing more became of the issue as a search of Westergaard's site offers no mention of anyone ever receiving the $5,000 award.

The difference in the Pluvia case, though, is that Westergaard mentioned Pluvia's screen name and openly charged him with trying to defraud investors. He suggests Pluvia is spreading misinformation about Premier in an attempt to drive down the share price so that either he or his confederates can profit from the drop. Faced with Pluvia's strong response, Westergaard not only did not detail the instances of "misinformation," he started seriously backtracking. In a post to the SI board on Friday, August 22, Westergaard said he would offer a more complete response the following Monday, pointing out at that time "that Pluvia's comments re the company are not fraudulent or even misinformed but they are purposely twisted, however, in a manner that is potentially damaging to investors."

The Monday post retreated further, asserting that "Pluvia's analysis of PLSIA does not involve the purveyance of fraudulent information. He is clearly an informed party." Westergaard goes on to characterize Pluvia's critiques of Premier as "narrowly focused misinformation of what I call the 'Abelson genre,'" referring to Barron's sharp-tongued columnist. He went on to say that in accepting payments from Premier, "WIBN will by definition have a fiduciary relationship with" the company. Yet he assured readers that "neither I nor anyone in our firm or associated with persons in the firm or the firm itself own or have an interest in shares of PLSIA or in any aspect of its business."

Westergaard better hope that's the truth. In the last year, the SEC indicted the publishers of SGA Goldstar, an online investment newsletter, for manipulating stocks and swindling investors. And that was despite the fact that the newsletter had a disclaimer on every page indicating that "Personnel associated with SGA may own shares in the companies mentioned herein or may act as consultants thereto." The SEC has charged that micro-cap companies such as SYSTEMS OF EXCELLENCE (OTC: SEXI) paid SGA in stock to promote their shares. Even as SGA ran glowing "buy" recommendations on a company, the newsletter's principals were selling their shares. Since Westergaard offers hot stock picks that look like unbiased commentary, it seems possible that the SEC might get interested in snooping around the firm's financial arrangements with its clients.

What is Premier's response to the controversy? CEO Cozean did not return phone calls. But Rene Caron, a principal at Premier's PR firm Allen & Caron, said last week, "Premier's position on this is John Westergaard and Westergaard Online are an independent company. Premier Laser has no part in what John Westergaard has put up on the web site relative to this Steve Pluvia." Asked if Premier had paid any compensation, cash or stock, to Westergaard, other than for conference appearances, Caron responded, "None whatsoever. Mr. Westergaard decided to do this independent of Premier Laser and certainly independent of Allen & Caron."

Despite Caron's comments, it seems clear that Premier has paid to appear at several of Westergaard's conferences and is now paying Westergaard $30,000 to participate in the WIBN. One of the services of the WIBN is to sweep the Internet, "identify[ing] parties such as 'Steve Pluvia.'" Thus, it's difficult to see how Premier can claim it is not paying Westergaard to, in effect, harass and intimidate Pluvia through the issuance of this "bounty." Premier shareholders, then, appear to be paying Westergaard to try to silence the company's most vocal critic. The whole thing gives new meaning to the notion of online "hits."

Westergaard has scoffed at people who charge him with violating the privacy rights or reputation of a nom de plume. That's a "pure oxymoron," he has said. Pluvia, though, says the episode has already cost him financially. "I had a $4 million deal that I was putting together that fell apart as the result of this problem. I was doing some venture capital money raising for a company. One of the investors saw this and became concerned and got cold feet. But besides this... I meet a lot of people through the Internet as a result of my success trading stocks, and I do a lot of business with people from those types of introductions. This has undoubtedly hurt my reputation."

Pluvia said he offered Westergaard a chance to apologize and rescind the reward. Neither happened. He also said he offered Cozean a chance to settle the matter out of court but got no response. Now? He's exploring his full legal options, which will begin with libel but likely not stop there. "I'm going after him as hard as I can," he said.

For starters, he's sent in his own dossier on himself, convinced that he's in the best position to claim the reward. The money will go to a charity -- if Westergaard actually pays it.

The Fool's Message Board for Premier Laser Systems



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:45:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Richard Geist's Strategic Investor asensio.com

May 2, 1997

New Solv-Ex lawsuit clearly proves that particularly all its investor representations are completely false and fraudulent.

New documents and photographs have been entered in a lawsuit dated April 25, 1997 against Solv-Ex Corporation, John S. Rendall and W. Jack Butler. According to the new lawsuit Solv-Ex's plant is not even close to completion and hardly approximates the type of sophisticated, complex and advanced oil production facility that investors were led to expect will soon be in operation. Solv-Ex's very own Alberta Energy and Utilities Board ("AEUB") license application (registered application number 950993) acknowledges and admits that it "did not plan to schedule commercial production to begin until July 2002." In fact, Solv-Ex admits in writing that it has no plans to apply for a new permit for a commercial project until 2002. The AEUB has confirmed that Solv-Ex has not been issued any "new" approvals. Solv-Ex's April 30, 1997 release is completely and totally false and untrue.

The lawsuit provides highly detailed proof of Solv-Ex's fraudulent and gross misrepresentations concerning its ability to produce oil at a substantially lower cost than Suncor and Syncrude; the size, recoverability and value of its so-called "reserves" and the false importance of its disclosed "relationships" with ITC Inc., Ledcor Industries Limited, Gibson Petroleum Company, Ltd., Glencore Ltd., Charter Oak Capital, Richard Geist's Strategic Investor and Pace Consultants. The new shareholder lawsuit shows that particularly all material statements made by John S. Rendall and W. Jack Butler concerning Solv-Ex are fraudulent misrepresentations stated to deceive and defraud investors.

Fourteen years ago, in 1983, Solv-Ex sold shares in an initial public offering based on the promises of a "new process to extract bitumen" and its claims to possess huge amounts of rich tar sand deposits. After the offering it was discovered that Mr. Rendall had overstated the quality and quantity of its mineral resources and that the entire project was unfeasible. In fact, Mr. Rendall was openly accused by Representative Mike Synar, Chairman of the U.S. House Government Operations Subcommittee of selling the stock to the public despite Mr. Rendall knowing of problems that made the project unfeasible.

Solv-Ex claims that its work at its Albuquerque Pilot Plant has demonstrated that its claimed "Oil sands processing technology" is commercially viable. In fact, the lawsuit reveals that the Alberta Oil Sands Technology and Research Authority, Suncor, Syncrude and Shell Canada have all evaluated Solv-Ex's process and found it of no commercial value. To this date, Solv-Ex still has not produced and profitably sold any oil and has no ability whatsoever to produce any oil or any mineral in a profitable, economically viable manner.

Solv-Ex Index | Home Page



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:51:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Analyst Richard Geist, who publishes the newsletter Strategic Investing, disagreed hotly with the Times assessment.

"Contrary to the New York Times," he wrote in late November, "Solv-Ex is alive and well, and it remains on its way toward a potentially major increase in shareholder value."

If the Solv-Ex pilot plant is successful, he said, the share value could rise to US$50.

But Geist added a thought that is in the minds of many Solv-Ex observers: "You should be aware that there are major risks to this investment, and complete loss of capital is possible."

Oilpatch has doubts about a very promising firm.
(Solv-Ex Corp.)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Solv-Ex Corp.

CEO: John Rendall Ticker symbol: SOLV Listed: Nasdaq Head office: Albuquerque

Data supplied by company reports

If shares in Solv-Ex Corp. were a Canadian province, they would probably be Alberta - a long expanse of mainly flat prairie, interrupted suddenly by a foothill and then a startling peak.

A year ago, Albuquerque N.M.-based Solv-Ex (SOLV/NASDAQ) was trading near US$4 a share. A steady rise brought it to US$10 by December. And then the peak: This week, Solv-Ex traded as high as US$38 before starting to fall almost as sharply.

It's quite a performance for a company that hasn't turned a profit in a single year since it began doing business in 1980, losing US$19 million in that period. It comes on a pair of promises many in the oil business find unlikely - or at least unproven.

Solv-Ex's promises are, quite literally, earth-moving. If they pan out, this little company, with 22.2 million shares outstanding, could set the petroleum industry on its ear.

First, Solv-Ex says its patented technology will enable it to extract bitumen from Alberta's tar sands for less than $7 a barrel.

Canada's two successful oil sands producers - Syncrude Canada Ltd. and Suncor Inc. - currently upgrade their bitumen into high-quality, high-value, light sweet oil at a unit cost of about $13.75 a barrel.

Solv-Ex says it will sell the lower-valued bitumen without the upgrading. On top of that comes the company's second pledge: That it can extract valuable minerals, especially alumina, from the huge pools of toxic wastes, called tailings, left by the operations of Suncor and Syncrude.

After developing this technology since 1980, Solv-Ex now claims to be close to a real-world test of its promises. The company plans to build a US$125-million oil-extraction plant on its lease near Fort McMurray, said to contain about four billion barrels of reserves.

There are also plans for a US$35-million test plant to mine alumina, and perhaps some gold and titanium, from the waste sand of synthetic oil producers.

In the process, Solv-Ex says, the tailings would be rendered non-toxic, providing an environmental solution to a growing problem.

Syncrude and Suncor together create more than 10 billion tonnes of tailings a year. Suncor keeps them in four ponds, while Syncrude has a locally famous "lake" with a shoreline measuring 29 kilometres. Both companies are actively exploring ways, with some success, to turn the tailings into dry land.

Any company that could extract value from the sludge while rendering it harmless would accomplish the industry equivalent of alchemy, an early form of chemistry which sought to turn base metals into gold.

Although the Solv-Ex test plant will use Suncor's tailings, the company does not exactly exude enthusiasm.

"We are not endorsing or denying the process," said Suncor spokesman John Rogers. "We just haven't been supplied enough information to evaluate it."

Suncor has made a point of saying it isn't putting up any money for the plant, and that Solv-Ex must pick up the tailings itself, either by truck or pipeline.

Solv-Ex says that once the technology is proven, it will be licensed to other producers. But at this point the industry remains skeptical.

Solv-Ex has had problems financing the Alberta projects. In 1993, it announced a US$19.1-million borrowing, but the deal didn't materialize.

Last year, Solv-Ex said it had reached a US$10-million agreement with Glencore Ltd., a Swiss company that is a huge trader of metallurgical-grade alumina. That deal also lapsed without any money arriving on the Solv-Ex balance sheet.

Solv-Ex spokesman Dean Gardy now promises a financing announcement within three weeks.

"We're in the process of finalizing our finance package and it's going extremely well," he said.

In spite of the doubters, Solv-Ex has all the provincial and municipal approvals it needs to proceed with the plants.

One oilsands observer notes: "They've had some false starts in the past, but it looks like they're going to move some dirt, dig a hole, and build a plant. Assuming they have the financing in place, they can start digging tomorrow."

Solv-Ex management has extensive experience in the oil industry. Board chairman and chief executive John Rendall invented the company's unique technology. President Jack Butler worked for Mobil Oil Corp. for 35 years, and was chairman of several Mobil companies.

Another board member, Thompson MacDonald, is president of his own strategic communications consulting firm in Calgary, serves as a director of the Canadian Broadcasting Corp., and has excellent contacts with the Alberta government.

Gordon Lamb of Smith Barney Inc. in New York says he has "a feeling of wonder at the speed of the stock price movement. The company is ridiculously priced relative to its current earnings."

Current earnings, in fact, don't exist. Solv-Ex lost US$1.07 million (US5[cents] a share) in the year ended June 30, 1995, and US$2.4 million (US13[cents]) in 1994. Since inception in 1980, the loss is US$1.37 a share.

The losses continued in the quarter after June 30, 1995, with a shortfall of US$744,704. Until production and sales begin, Solv-Ex will have few sources of revenue apart from stock issues and borrowing.

Charles Maxwell, a New York analyst who owns 100,000 Solv-Ex shares on his own account, warns that the stock has risen so fast, short-sellers could quickly knock it off the ladder.

That may already have started. Solv-Ex shares have dropped sharply since Tuesday, closing yesterday at US$24 7/8, down US$4 5/8.

"They've run it up to a degree that has nothing to do with the intrinsic merits of the situation," he said. "But for the company, it's gangbusters if the premise works."

A New York Times writer was much tougher on Solv-Ex in an article written last November. He compared the company to a teenage moocher who uses other people's money and never leaves home.

Analyst Richard Geist, who publishes the newsletter Strategic Investing, disagreed hotly with the Times assessment.

"Contrary to the New York Times," he wrote in late November, "Solv-Ex is alive and well, and it remains on its way toward a potentially major increase in shareholder value."

If the Solv-Ex pilot plant is successful, he said, the share value could rise to US$50.

But Geist added a thought that is in the minds of many Solv-Ex observers: "You should be aware that there are major risks to this investment, and complete loss of capital is possible."

COPYRIGHT 1996 Financial Post

COPYRIGHT 1996 Information Access Company



To: jjs64 who wrote (8552)6/26/2000 10:55:00 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 10354
 
Richard Geist of Richard Geist's Strategic Investing was down 28.9% in the same period, largely from betting too much on one stock that turned out to be a huge loser, Geist says. Solv-Ex, which made up about 20% of his portfolio, fell from a high of $19.50 to 62.5 cents last year.

Hulbert's Bottom Five for:

Eleven months Richard Geist's Strategic Investing, 28.9%; Natural Contrarian, 31.2%; ODDS Oex Fax Hotline, 32.8%; Ground Floor, 45.4%; Futures Hotline/Mutual Fund Timer, 76.3%.

Advisers never at loss for excuses for getting trampled in bull market

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York When you're No. 1, you hire a skywriter to announce the news. When you're in last place, though, you bury the evidence and keep your mouth shut. Unless your bad standing gets found out. Then, you denounce the judge of your work.

A publication called The Hulbert Financial Digest, which puts out a monthly ranking of the best performers among investment newsletters, is such a judge. And its editor, Mark Hulbert, gets denounced regularly.

The Hulbert digest typically emphasizes the most talented investment advisers.

But the public is exposed to the advertising pitches of letter writers good and bad. So Bloomberg News goes each year to Hulbert for a rundown of the bottom rankers who blew it over periods of one, five and 10 years.

It is an exercise that never fails to result in long-winded attacks on the publication and its editor.

For the shortest time period (the 11 months that ended Nov. 30), losers say they were hit hard for a range of reasons.

Yale Hirsch of Ground Floor says that carnage among natural resources stocks sent his returns down 45.4% while the Wilshire 5000 index a broad measure of stocks large and small gained 28%.

Richard Geist of Richard Geist's Strategic Investing was down 28.9% in the same period, largely from betting too much on one stock that turned out to be a huge loser, Geist says. Solv-Ex, which made up about 20% of his portfolio, fell from a high of $19.50 to 62.5 cents last year.

Other 11-month losers included one who says he landed on the five-worst list because of the way Hulbert calculates commissions.

Donald Fishback, whose ODDS Oex Fax Hotline was down 32.8% by Hulbert's calculations, admits 1997 was not a great year for his letter. That's because "rising volatility works against me, and that's what we've had this year," he explains.

By Fishback's account, though, his returns would have been down only 3.5% in the first 11 months of 1997 had Hulbert used more realistic commission charges. He and Hulbert "are in the process of trying to resolve" their dispute, Fishback says.

Hulbert's commission "charges" have been the stuff of many disputes over the years. Stock traders have accused him of under-calculating options commissions; options traders have countered that stock traders get too much of a break.

Bernard Schaeffer, editor of Option Advisor, is on two of the five-worst lists, down an annualized 8.9% over five years (the Wilshire 5000 was up 19.3%) and 8.2% over 10 years ending Nov. 30 (the Wilshire was up 18.2%).

He says Hulbert subtracts 3% for commissions from each options trade, and that's too much.

"Even if he reduced it to 2%, both the numbers would be positive," he says.

Others on the blooper list this year take their lumps and admit to bad markets or bad decisions.

"It's been a really miserable five years," says Michael Murphy of Overpriced Stock Service, which specializes in finding stocks whose prices will decline.

Murphy's short sellers' portfolio lost an annualized 35.8% over the past five bull-market years, Hulbert says. But another Murphy newsletter that specializes in long stock recommendations is in the top five for a 14-year period, Hulbert confirms.

Despite his uncomfortable spot on the five-year "worst" list, Murphy is willing to say Hulbert is a fair operator who has helped push the investment newsletter industry to become more honest about performance. Others on the stinky list, though, sound suspicious and sometimes bitter about Hulbert.

"There was a time four or five years ago when I decided to trade commodities for a six-month period" and lost badly, says P.Q. Wall, whose P.Q. Wall Forecast is down 15.3% annually in Hulbert's five-year calculations.

That one period, Wall says, continues to drag down his long-term performance unfairly, and subscribers who followed the advice on his telephone hot line "tripled or quadrupled their money" this year.

Joseph Granville of The Granville Market Letter, down an annual rate of 25.4% over five years and 5.0% over 10, says, "I'm always going to look bad in Hulbert's book" because his seasoned letter has been rated by Hulbert since 1980, thus exposing him to more potential down periods in Granville's view.

(Why that wouldn't mean more exposure to up periods, too, can be left to the imagination of the investor).

James Dines, editor of the Dines Letter (down 4.6% a year over 10 years) says Hulbert's numbers are wrong but refuses to provide his own performance number.

"The truth is, there might be legal action, so I'm not going to put my numbers on the table," he says.

Hulbert's methods "are considered crackpot by the newsletter industry," he adds, an allegation that does not even win unanimous support among those who did worst in the most recent periods.

(Hulbert's view: The criticisms are sufficiently weak to persuade him his critics are "grasping at straws.")

Hulbert's Bottom Five for:

Eleven months Richard Geist's Strategic Investing, 28.9%; Natural Contrarian, 31.2%; ODDS Oex Fax Hotline, 32.8%; Ground Floor, 45.4%; Futures Hotline/Mutual Fund Timer, 76.3%.

Five years (annualized) Option Advisor, 8.9%; P.Q. Wall Forecast, 15.3%; The Granville Market Letter, 25.4%; Overpriced Stock Service, 35.8%; Futures Hotline/Mutual Fund Timer, 68.5%.

Ten years (annualized) Growth Fund Guide, +2.9%; Professional Tape Reader, +0.3%; The Dines Letter, 4.6%; The Granville Market Letter, 5.0%; Option Advisor, 8.2%.

(Copyright 1998)